Fakel vs Rodina Moskva Prediction

Premier League · Sat 24 Oct 2026
Russia flag Russia : Premier League
FakelWLDLL
0 - 1
Full time · HT 0 - 1
Rodina MoskvaDWLWL
Kick-offSat 24 Oct, 13:00
Our tip1 @ 2.01 ✗
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence55%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✗
Double chance12 ✓
BTTSNo ✓
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✗

Goals & cards

43'⚽German Onugkha (pen)
Clayton Sampaio Pereira51'
60'Leon Musaev
Albert Gabaraev61'
Anton Kovalev76'
76'Ruslan Fishchenko
76'German Onugkha
90'Artem Meshchaninov
Abdula Bagamaev90+2'
90+5'Iker Pozo

Match stats

FakelRodina Moskva
59%Possession41%
8Shots8
0Shots on target1
1Corners4
19Fouls11
4Yellow cards5
Line-ups
Fakel
  1. 96I. ObukhovG
  2. 55D. TodorovicD
  3. 5A. GabaraevD
  4. 40Clayton SampaioD
  5. 53M. BardachevD
  6. 10I. AlshinD
  7. 97B. MagomedovM
  8. 23V. YakimovM
  9. 8A. BagamaevM
  10. 90A. KoksharovF
  11. 19B. PusiF
Rodina Moskva5-4-1
  1. 13S. VolkovG
  2. 2Igor SilvaD
  3. 50Rodrigo BecaoD
  4. 38L. MusaevD
  5. 26A. MeshchaninovD
  6. 20D. MachadoD
  7. 18M. AbdusalamovM
  8. 10Y. ReynaM
  9. 5A. EgorychevM
  10. 17S. BakaevM
  11. 7G. OnugkhaF

Coach: Jonatan Alba

Referee: Ivan Abrosimov, Russia · Venue: Fakel Stadium, Voronezh

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
FakelWLDLL
07 Nov 26HDynamo1 - 2Premier League
31 Oct 26ARubin0 - 1Premier League
27 Oct 26HAkhmat0 - 0Cup
24 Oct 26HRodina Moskva0 - 1Premier League
17 Oct 26AKrylia Sovetov2 - 1Premier League
Rodina MoskvaDWLWL
07 Nov 26AAkhmat0 - 1Premier League
31 Oct 26HFC Krasnodar2 - 1Premier League
28 Oct 26AFC Orenburg1 - 2Cup
24 Oct 26AFakel1 - 0Premier League
19 Oct 26HFC Orenburg2 - 2Premier League

Head to head

Full head to head: Fakel vs Rodina Moskva →

Our prediction

Fakel to win

@ 2.01
Double chance
12  •  Fakel or Rodina Moskva
@ 1.33
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
@ 1.84
Confidence
55%

Our record

Our tips on Fakellast 20 tipped matches
11/2055%
Our tips on Rodina Moskvalast 20 tipped matches
12/2060%
Our tips in Premier Leaguelast 30 days
15/3247%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
85%
Over 2.5: 58%Under 2.5: 42%
Expected goals
1.68Fakel
3.00Total
1.32Rodina Moskva

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 13% @ 5.95
1 – 0 Fakel win 12% @ 6.25
0 – 0 Draw 10% @ 7.70
2 – 1 Fakel win 9% @ 8.30
2 – 0 Fakel win 9% @ 8.70
3 – 0 Fakel win 5% @ 16.75 Our pick

Final score: 0 – 1 – not in our list. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Fakel44%
Draw18%
Rodina Moskva38%

Odds (1X2)

12.01
X3.44
23.94

Fakel vs Rodina Moskva preview and result

Fakel and Rodina Moskva met in the Premier League on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 13:00 (Nigerian time). The match finished 0 - 1, 0 - 1 at half time.

Our model gives Fakel a 44% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Rodina Moskva 38%. Our pick was Fakel to win with 55% confidence at odds of 2.01. The pick lost this time ✗. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Fakel or Rodina Moskva) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.33.

Goals: we expect about 3.0 goals (1.7 for Fakel, 1.3 for Rodina Moskva). The chance of three or more goals is 58%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (85% confidence). 1 goal was scored.

Form and head to head

Fakel have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (W-L-D-L-L), scoring 3 and conceding 5. Rodina Moskva have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (D-W-L-W-L), scoring 6 and conceding 6. In the table, Fakel are 16th with 6 points and Rodina Moskva are 13th with 12 points.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Fakel vs Rodina Moskva?

Our pre-match prediction is Fakel to win (55% confidence) at odds of 2.01. Win chances: Fakel 44%, draw 18%, Rodina Moskva 38%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Fakel vs Rodina Moskva?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 85% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 58%).

What time is Fakel vs Rodina Moskva?

Fakel vs Rodina Moskva (Premier League) was played on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 13:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Fakel vs Rodina Moskva?

The double chance 12 (Fakel or Rodina Moskva) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.33. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Premier League table

Fakel16th6 pts
Rodina Moskva13th12 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Zenit 141013 1731
2 Dynamo 141013 1031
3 Spartak Moscow 14923 1629
4 FC Krasnodar 14752 726
5 CSKA Moscow 14752 726
6 FC Rostov 14545 -119
7 Krylia Sovetov 14464 -118
8 Rubin 14464 -418
9 Baltika 14455 217
10 FC Orenburg 14383 017
11 Dinamo Makhachkala 14518 -916
12 Akhmat 14356 -314
13 Rodina Moskva 14338 -1412
14 Akron 14266 -812
15 Lokomotiv 14257 -511
16 Fakel 141310 -146