FC Porto vs Benfica Prediction

Primeira Liga · Sun 20 Sep 2026
Portugal flag Portugal : Primeira Liga
FC PortoLLWWW
3 - 1
Full time · HT 1 - 0
BenficaWWWWW
Kick-offSun 20 Sep, 20:30
Our tip2 @ 2.50 ✗
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence55%

Full-time report

Our tip2 ✗
Double chance12 ✓
BTTSYes ✓
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✓

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
FC PortoLLWWW
31 Oct 26HEstoril4 - 0Primeira Liga
28 Oct 26HAcademico Viseu1 - 0Taça da Liga
24 Oct 26AGIL Vicente1 - 0Primeira Liga
20 Oct 26HPSV Eindhoven0 - 1UEFA Champions League
14 Oct 26AReal Betis2 - 3UEFA Champions League
BenficaWWWWW
05 Nov 26HLech Poznan3 - 1UEFA Europa League
02 Nov 26HAlverca1 - 0Primeira Liga
29 Oct 26HGIL Vicente4 - 1Taça da Liga
26 Oct 26ASanta Clara2 - 1Primeira Liga
22 Oct 26AOmonia Nicosia4 - 1UEFA Europa League

Head to head

FC Porto 4 · Draws 2 · Benfica 4 (10 meetings)

20 Sep 26FC Porto3 - 1BenficaPrimeira Liga
08 Mar 26Benfica2 - 2FC PortoPrimeira Liga
14 Jan 26FC Porto1 - 0BenficaTaça de Portugal
05 Oct 25FC Porto0 - 0BenficaPrimeira Liga
06 Apr 25FC Porto1 - 4BenficaPrimeira Liga
10 Nov 24Benfica4 - 1FC PortoPrimeira Liga
03 Mar 24FC Porto5 - 0BenficaPrimeira Liga
29 Sep 23Benfica1 - 0FC PortoPrimeira Liga
09 Aug 23Benfica2 - 0FC PortoSuper Cup
07 Apr 23Benfica1 - 2FC PortoPrimeira Liga

Full head to head: FC Porto vs Benfica →

Our prediction

Benfica to win

@ 2.50
Double chance
12  •  FC Porto or Benfica
@ 1.30
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.67
Confidence
55%

Our record

Our tips on FC Portolast 20 tipped matches
16/2080%
Our tips on Benficalast 20 tipped matches
16/2080%
Our tips in Primeira Ligalast 30 days
22/3367%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
90%
Over 2.5: 68%Under 2.5: 32%
Expected goals
1.44FC Porto
3.50Total
2.06Benfica

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 11% @ 6.00
0 – 1 Benfica win 8% @ 8.50
1 – 0 FC Porto win 7% @ 9.00
1 – 2 Benfica win 7% @ 9.00 Our pick
2 – 1 FC Porto win 7% @ 9.50

Final score: 3 – 1 – not in our list. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

FC Porto37%
Draw18%
Benfica45%

Odds (1X2)

12.62
X3.25
22.50

FC Porto vs Benfica preview and result

FC Porto and Benfica met in the Primeira Liga on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 20:30 (Nigerian time). The match finished 3 - 1, 1 - 0 at half time.

Our model gives FC Porto a 37% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Benfica 45%. Our pick was Benfica to win with 55% confidence at odds of 2.50. The pick lost this time ✗. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (FC Porto or Benfica) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.30.

Goals: we expect about 3.5 goals (1.4 for FC Porto, 2.1 for Benfica). The chance of three or more goals is 68%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (90% confidence). 4 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

FC Porto have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-L-W-W-W), scoring 8 and conceding 4. Benfica have 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (W-W-W-W-W), scoring 14 and conceding 4. In their last 10 meetings, FC Porto won 4, Benfica won 4 and 2 ended level. In the table, FC Porto are 1st with 30 points and Benfica are 2nd with 25 points.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for FC Porto vs Benfica?

Our pre-match prediction is Benfica to win (55% confidence) at odds of 2.50. Win chances: FC Porto 37%, draw 18%, Benfica 45%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in FC Porto vs Benfica?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 90% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 68%).

What time is FC Porto vs Benfica?

FC Porto vs Benfica (Primeira Liga) was played on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 20:30 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for FC Porto vs Benfica?

The double chance 12 (FC Porto or Benfica) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.30. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Primeira Liga table

FC Porto1st30 pts
Benfica2nd25 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 FC Porto 101000 2130
2 Benfica 10811 1925
3 Sporting CP 11731 1324
4 Santa Clara 10631 921
5 Arouca 11623 520
6 Academico Viseu 10622 320
7 GIL Vicente 10433 115
8 SC Braga 10424 114
9 Moreirense 11425 -514
10 Famalicao 11344 113
11 Alverca 11335 -112
12 Estrela 10244 -410
13 Vitória SC 10235 09
14 Maritimo 10226 -128
15 Casa Pia 11227 -148
16 Nacional 10217 -97
17 Rio Ave 10217 -147
18 Estoril 10028 -142