FC St. Pauli vs FSV Mainz 05 Prediction

Bundesliga · Sun 3 May 2026
Germany flag Germany : Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli
0 - 2
73' · HT 0 - 2
FSV Mainz 05WLLLL
Kick-offSun 3 May, 14:30
Our tip2 @ 2.54
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence60%

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
FC St. Pauli

No matches found.

FSV Mainz 05WLLLL
07 Nov 26HBayern München1 - 2Bundesliga
30 Oct 26ASV Elversberg1 - 4Bundesliga
27 Oct 26AVfL Bochum0 - 2DFB Pokal
24 Oct 26HWerder Bremen2 - 3Bundesliga
17 Oct 26AFC Schalke 041 - 0Bundesliga

Head to head

Full head to head: FC St. Pauli vs FSV Mainz 05 →

Our prediction

FSV Mainz 05 to win

@ 2.54
Double chance
12  •  FC St. Pauli or FSV Mainz 05
@ 1.28
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.80
Confidence
60%

Our record

Our tips on FSV Mainz 05last 20 tipped matches
11/2055%
Our tips in Bundesligalast 30 days
20/3656%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 50%Under 2.5: 50%
Expected goals
0.73FC St. Pauli
2.69Total
1.96FSV Mainz 05

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 12% @ 5.25
0 – 1 FSV Mainz 05 win 10% @ 6.50
1 – 0 FC St. Pauli win 9% @ 7.00
1 – 2 FSV Mainz 05 win 8% @ 8.00 Our pick
2 – 1 FC St. Pauli win 8% @ 8.50

Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

FC St. Pauli28%
Draw18%
FSV Mainz 0554%

Odds (1X2)

12.70
X3.25
22.54

FC St. Pauli vs FSV Mainz 05 preview

FC St. Pauli v FSV Mainz 05 in the Bundesliga is under way – the score is 0 - 2 (73').

Our model gives FC St. Pauli a 28% chance of winning, the draw 18% and FSV Mainz 05 54%. That makes our pick FSV Mainz 05 to win with 60% confidence at odds of 2.54. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (FC St. Pauli or FSV Mainz 05) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.28.

Goals: we expect about 2.7 goals (0.7 for FC St. Pauli, 2.0 for FSV Mainz 05). The chance of three or more goals is 50%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (75% confidence).

Form and head to head

FSV Mainz 05 have 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (W-L-L-L-L), scoring 5 and conceding 11.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win FC St. Pauli vs FSV Mainz 05?

Our prediction is FSV Mainz 05 to win (60% confidence) at odds of 2.54. Win chances: FC St. Pauli 28%, draw 18%, FSV Mainz 05 54%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in FC St. Pauli vs FSV Mainz 05?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 50%).

What time is FC St. Pauli vs FSV Mainz 05?

FC St. Pauli vs FSV Mainz 05 (Bundesliga) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 14:30 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for FC St. Pauli vs FSV Mainz 05?

The double chance 12 (FC St. Pauli or FSV Mainz 05) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.28. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Bundesliga table

FC St. Pauli–
FSV Mainz 0512th10 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Bayern München 9630 2021
2 Borussia Dortmund 9630 921
3 SC Freiburg 9612 1019
4 RB Leipzig 9603 1418
5 Bayer Leverkusen 9513 316
6 Werder Bremen 9432 215
7 SV Elversberg 9414 -113
8 VfB Stuttgart 9405 012
9 1899 Hoffenheim 9405 -112
10 Eintracht Frankfurt 9333 -512
11 Hamburger SV 9405 -1012
12 FSV Mainz 05 9315 -110
13 SC Paderborn 07 9243 -310
14 FC Augsburg 9234 09
15 1. FC Köln 9234 -49
16 Union Berlin 9144 -147
17 FC Schalke 04 9135 -66
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach 9117 -134