FC Thun vs FC Lugano Prediction

Super League · Sun 25 Oct 2026
Switzerland flag Switzerland : Super League
FC ThunLLWWD
2 - 3
Full time · HT 1 - 1
FC LuganoWWWWL
Kick-offSun 25 Oct, 14:00
Our tip2 @ 1.83 ✓
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence75%

Full-time report

Our tip2 ✓
Double chance12 ✓
BTTSYes ✓
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✓

Goals & cards

33'⚽Dereck MoncadaAssist: Hannes Delcroix
Nassim Zoukit⚽37'
38'Elias Pihlstrom
44'Damian Kelvin
49'⚽Uran BislimiAssist: Daniel Dos Santos Correia
Nico Maier52'
76'⚽Albian AjetiAssist: Lars Lukas Mai
Fabio Fehr85'
Riccardo Braschi (pen)⚽88'

Match stats

FC ThunFC Lugano
52%Possession48%
1.87Expected goals (xG)1.74
18Shots19
9Shots on target6
6Corners2
18Fouls15
4Offsides3
2Yellow cards2
3Saves7
Line-ups
FC Thun4-4-2
  1. 1N. SteffenG
  2. 47F. FehrD
  3. 54L. PassavantD
  4. 5N. BurgyD
  5. 18T. StrannegardD
  6. 70N. ReichmuthM
  7. 16J. RothM
  8. 13N. ZoukitM
  9. 30N. MaierM
  10. 9F. DursunF
  11. 96B. LabeauF

Coach: Luca Privitelli Gian

FC Lugano3-4-1-2
  1. 16D. von BallmoosG
  2. 4D. KelvinD
  3. 17L. MaiD
  4. 3H. DelcroixD
  5. 2B. KarimovM
  6. 21Y. CimignaniM
  7. 8A. GrgicM
  8. 24E. PihlstromM
  9. 25U. BislimiF
  10. 91K. BehrensF
  11. 30D. MoncadaF

Coach: Mattia Croci-Torti

Referee: Mirel Turkes, Switzerland · Venue: Cornaredo, Lugano

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
FC ThunLLWWD
08 Nov 26HFC Basel 18933 - 3Super League
05 Nov 26HHeart Of Midlothian3 - 1UEFA Europa Conference League
01 Nov 26ALausanne5 - 4Super League
25 Oct 26HFC Lugano2 - 3Super League
22 Oct 26HHNK Hajduk Split0 - 1UEFA Europa Conference League
FC LuganoWWWWL
08 Nov 26AFC ST. Gallen0 - 5Super League
05 Nov 26HKauno Žalgiris3 - 0UEFA Europa Conference League
01 Nov 26HFC Basel 18932 - 1Super League
25 Oct 26AFC Thun3 - 2Super League
22 Oct 26AGetafe5 - 2UEFA Europa Conference League

Head to head

FC Thun 5 · Draws 7 · FC Lugano 10 (22 meetings, last 10 below)

25 Oct 26FC Thun2 - 3FC LuganoSuper League
25 Apr 26FC Thun0 - 1FC LuganoSuper League
04 Apr 26FC Lugano1 - 0FC ThunSuper League
22 Nov 25FC Thun0 - 1FC LuganoSuper League
27 Jul 25FC Lugano1 - 2FC ThunSuper League
10 Feb 22FC Thun3 - 4FC LuganoSchweizer Cup
15 Jul 20FC Lugano1 - 1FC ThunSuper League
09 Feb 20FC Thun3 - 2FC LuganoSuper League
24 Nov 19FC Thun0 - 3FC LuganoSuper League
28 Jul 19FC Lugano0 - 0FC ThunSuper League

Full head to head: FC Thun vs FC Lugano →

Our prediction

FC Lugano to win

@ 1.83
Double chance
12  •  FC Thun or FC Lugano
@ 1.22
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.40
Confidence
75%

Our record

Our tips on FC Thunlast 20 tipped matches
8/2040%
Our tips on FC Luganolast 20 tipped matches
11/2055%
Our tips in Super Leaguelast 30 days
10/1856%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
95%
Over 2.5: 78%Under 2.5: 22%
Expected goals
1.31FC Thun
4.10Total
2.79FC Lugano

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 8% @ 8.00
1 – 2 FC Lugano win 8% @ 8.50 Our pick
2 – 2 Draw 6% @ 10.00
2 – 1 FC Thun win 6% @ 11.00
0 – 1 FC Lugano win 5% @ 12.00

Final score: 2 – 3 – not in our list. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

FC Thun24%
Draw11%
FC Lugano65%

Odds (1X2)

13.40
X4.00
21.83

FC Thun vs FC Lugano preview and result

FC Thun and FC Lugano met in the Super League on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 14:00 (Nigerian time). The match finished 2 - 3, 1 - 1 at half time.

Our model gives FC Thun a 24% chance of winning, the draw 11% and FC Lugano 65%. Our pick was FC Lugano to win with 75% confidence at odds of 1.83. The pick came in ✓. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (FC Thun or FC Lugano) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.22.

Goals: we expect about 4.1 goals (1.3 for FC Thun, 2.8 for FC Lugano). The chance of three or more goals is 78%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (95% confidence). 5 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

FC Thun have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-L-W-W-D), scoring 13 and conceding 12. FC Lugano have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (W-W-W-W-L), scoring 13 and conceding 10. In their last 10 meetings, FC Thun won 5, FC Lugano won 10 and 7 ended level.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for FC Thun vs FC Lugano?

Our pre-match prediction is FC Lugano to win (75% confidence) at odds of 1.83. Win chances: FC Thun 24%, draw 11%, FC Lugano 65%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in FC Thun vs FC Lugano?

We expect about 4.1 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 95% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 78%).

What time is FC Thun vs FC Lugano?

FC Thun vs FC Lugano (Super League) was played on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 14:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for FC Thun vs FC Lugano?

The double chance 12 (FC Thun or FC Lugano) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.22. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.