Fiorentina vs Jagiellonia Prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · Thu 26 Feb 2026
Europe : UEFA Europa Conference League
FiorentinaLLLDW
2 - 4
Full time · HT 0 - 2
JagielloniaLWWWL
Kick-offThu 26 Feb, 18:45
Our tip1 @ 1.50 ✗
GoalsUnder 2.5
Confidence70%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✗
Double chance1X ✗
BTTSYes ✓
Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 ✗

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
FiorentinaLLLDW
02 Nov 26ASassuolo4 - 2Serie A
29 Oct 26HAtalanta2 - 2Serie A
25 Oct 26AInter1 - 2Serie A
18 Oct 26HComo1 - 3Serie A
10 Oct 26AGenoa1 - 2Serie A
JagielloniaLWWWL
05 Nov 26ALevski Sofia0 - 1UEFA Europa League
31 Oct 26AWieczysta Kraków3 - 1Ekstraklasa
28 Oct 26ALechia Gdansk6 - 0Cup
25 Oct 26HWisla Plock1 - 0Ekstraklasa
22 Oct 26HAnderlecht0 - 3UEFA Europa League

Head to head

Full head to head: Fiorentina vs Jagiellonia →

Our prediction

Fiorentina to win

@ 1.50
Double chance
1X  •  Fiorentina or Draw
@ 1.12
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.77
Confidence
70%

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 43%Under 2.5: 57%
Expected goals
1.61Fiorentina
2.41Total
0.80Jagiellonia

Possible correct scores

1 – 0 Fiorentina win 10% @ 6.50 Our pick
2 – 0 Fiorentina win 10% @ 6.50
2 – 1 Fiorentina win 10% @ 6.50
1 – 1 Draw 9% @ 7.00
3 – 0 Fiorentina win 7% @ 9.00

Final score: 2 – 4 – not in our top 5. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Fiorentina64%
Draw24%
Jagiellonia12%

Odds (1X2)

11.50
X4.35
25.80

Fiorentina vs Jagiellonia preview and result

Fiorentina and Jagiellonia met in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 26 February 2026 at 18:45 (Nigerian time). The match finished 2 - 4, 0 - 2 at half time.

Our model gives Fiorentina a 64% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Jagiellonia 12%. Our pick was Fiorentina to win with 70% confidence at odds of 1.50. The pick lost this time ✗. For a safer option, the double chance 1X (Fiorentina or Draw) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.12.

Goals: we expect about 2.4 goals (1.6 for Fiorentina, 0.8 for Jagiellonia). The chance of three or more goals is 43%, so our goals pick is Under 2.5 (75% confidence). 6 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Fiorentina have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-L-L-D-W), scoring 9 and conceding 11. Jagiellonia have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-W-W-W-L), scoring 10 and conceding 5.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Fiorentina vs Jagiellonia?

Our pre-match prediction is Fiorentina to win (70% confidence) at odds of 1.50. Win chances: Fiorentina 64%, draw 24%, Jagiellonia 12%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Fiorentina vs Jagiellonia?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Our pick is Under 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 43%).

What time is Fiorentina vs Jagiellonia?

Fiorentina vs Jagiellonia (UEFA Europa Conference League) was played on Thursday 26 February 2026 at 18:45 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Fiorentina vs Jagiellonia?

The double chance 1X (Fiorentina or Draw) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.12. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

UEFA Europa Conference League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Panathinaikos 2200 56
2 FC Lugano 2200 46
3 Brann 2200 46
4 Trabzonspor 2200 46
5 Twente 2200 46
6 Monaco 2200 46
7 St. Truiden 2200 36
8 HNK Hajduk Split 2200 26
9 Brighton 2110 44
10 FC Copenhagen 2110 34
11 Universitatea Craiova 2110 24
12 Mjallby AIF 2110 24
13 Ajax 2101 13
14 Borac Banja Luka 2101 13
15 Atalanta 2101 03
16 SC Braga 2101 -13
17 Gent 2101 -13
18 SC Freiburg 2101 -23
19 FC Nordsjaelland 2020 02
20 Egnatia Rrogozhinë 2020 02
21 Riga 2020 02
22 FK Crvena Zvezda 2011 -11
23 CSKA Sofia 2011 -11
24 FK Jablonec 2011 -11
25 FC Midtjylland 2011 -11
26 Aarhus 2011 -11
27 Pafos 2011 -21
28 Heart Of Midlothian 2011 -21
29 FC Iberia 1999 2011 -21
30 Getafe 2011 -31
31 Kairat Almaty 2011 -41
32 FC Thun 2002 -20
33 Lincoln Red Imps FC 2002 -40
34 KuPS 2002 -40
35 Inter Club d'Escaldes 2002 -40
36 Kauno Žalgiris 2002 -70