Flamengo vs Independiente Medellin Prediction

CONMEBOL Libertadores · Fri 17 Apr 2026

South America : CONMEBOL Libertadores

FlamengoWDWWW

4 - 1

Full time · HT 2 - 1

Independiente Medellin

Kick-offFri 17 Apr, 01:30

Our tip1 @ 1.18 ✓

GoalsUnder 2.5

Confidence85%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✓

BTTSNo ✗

Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 ✗

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away

FlamengoWDWWW

04 Nov 26HGremio3 - 1Serie A

29 Oct 26AVasco DA Gama4 - 1Serie A

26 Oct 26HAtletico-MG3 - 2Serie A

23 Oct 26HEstudiantes L.P.0 - 0CONMEBOL Libertadores

18 Oct 26ABahia3 - 0Serie A

Independiente Medellin

No matches found.

Head to head

Full head to head: Flamengo vs Independiente Medellin →

Our prediction

Flamengo to win

@ 1.18

Both teams to score

No – at least one team fails to score

@ 1.55

Confidence

85%

Our record

Our tips on Flamengolast 20 tipped matches

14/2070%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5

Under 2.5

Confidence

80%

Over 2.5: 32%Under 2.5: 68%

Expected goals

0.50Flamengo

2.00Total

1.50Independiente Medellin

Possible correct scores

2 – 0 Flamengo win 13% @ 4.75 Our pick

1 – 0 Flamengo win 11% @ 5.75

3 – 0 Flamengo win 11% @ 5.75

2 – 1 Flamengo win 8% @ 8.00

4 – 0 Flamengo win 7% @ 8.50

Final score: 4 – 1 – not in our list. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Flamengo75%

Draw15%

Independiente Medellin10%

Odds (1X2)

11.18

X6.40

214.00

Flamengo vs Independiente Medellin preview and result

Flamengo and Independiente Medellin met in the CONMEBOL Libertadores on Friday 17 April 2026 at 01:30 (Nigerian time). The match finished 4 - 1, 2 - 1 at half time.

Our model gives Flamengo a 75% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Independiente Medellin 10%. Our pick was Flamengo to win with 85% confidence at odds of 1.18. The pick came in ✓.

Goals: we expect about 2.0 goals (0.5 for Flamengo, 1.5 for Independiente Medellin). The chance of three or more goals is 32%, so our goals pick is Under 2.5 (80% confidence). 5 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Flamengo have 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (W-D-W-W-W), scoring 13 and conceding 4. In the table, Flamengo are 1st with 16 points and Independiente Medellin are 3rd with 7 points.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Flamengo vs Independiente Medellin?

Our pre-match prediction is Flamengo to win (85% confidence) at odds of 1.18. Win chances: Flamengo 75%, draw 15%, Independiente Medellin 10%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Flamengo vs Independiente Medellin?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Our pick is Under 2.5 with 80% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 32%).

What time is Flamengo vs Independiente Medellin?

Flamengo vs Independiente Medellin (CONMEBOL Libertadores) was played on Friday 17 April 2026 at 01:30 Nigerian time (WAT).

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

CONMEBOL Libertadores table

Flamengo1st16 pts

Independiente Medellin3rd7 pts