Fluminense vs Bangu Prediction

Carioca 1 · Mon 16 Feb 2026
Brazil flag Brazil : Carioca 1
FluminenseLWLWW
3 - 1
Full time · HT 2 - 0
BanguLWDLD
Kick-offMon 16 Feb, 22:00
Our tip1 @ 1.19 ✓
GoalsUnder 2.5
Confidence75%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✓
Double chance12 ✓
BTTSNo ✗
Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 ✗

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
FluminenseLWLWW
06 Nov 26AVitoria3 - 0Serie A
28 Oct 26HInternacional2 - 1Serie A
24 Oct 26AChapecoense-sc1 - 2Serie A
22 Oct 26APalmeiras1 - 0CONMEBOL Libertadores
18 Oct 26HSantos1 - 2Serie A
BanguLWDLD
22 Jul 26HOlaria1 - 1Copa Rio
15 Jul 26AOlaria0 - 2Copa Rio
27 Feb 26AVolta Redonda1 - 1Carioca 1
20 Feb 26HVolta Redonda1 - 0Carioca 1
16 Feb 26AFluminense1 - 3Carioca 1

Head to head

Fluminense 1 · Draws 0 · Bangu 0 (1 meetings)

16 Feb 26Fluminense3 - 1BanguCarioca 1

Full head to head: Fluminense vs Bangu →

Our prediction

Fluminense to win

@ 1.19
Double chance
12  •  Fluminense or Bangu
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
@ 1.57
Confidence
75%

Our record

Our tips on Fluminenselast 20 tipped matches
7/2035%
Our tips on Bangulast 4 tipped matches
1/425%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 41%Under 2.5: 59%
Expected goals
1.35Fluminense
2.33Total
0.98Bangu

Possible correct scores

2 – 0 Fluminense win 12% @ 5.00 Our pick
3 – 0 Fluminense win 11% @ 5.75
1 – 0 Fluminense win 10% @ 6.25
2 – 1 Fluminense win 8% @ 7.50
4 – 0 Fluminense win 7% @ 8.50

Final score: 3 – 1 – not in our list. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Fluminense67%
Draw16%
Bangu17%

Odds (1X2)

11.19
X5.80
213.00

Fluminense vs Bangu preview and result

Fluminense and Bangu met in the Carioca 1 on Monday 16 February 2026 at 22:00 (Nigerian time). The match finished 3 - 1, 2 - 0 at half time.

Our model gives Fluminense a 67% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Bangu 17%. Our pick was Fluminense to win with 75% confidence at odds of 1.19. The pick came in ✓. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Fluminense or Bangu) covers two of the three results.

Goals: we expect about 2.3 goals (1.4 for Fluminense, 1.0 for Bangu). The chance of three or more goals is 41%, so our goals pick is Under 2.5 (75% confidence). 4 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Fluminense have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-W-L-W-W), scoring 8 and conceding 5. Bangu have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-W-D-L-D), scoring 4 and conceding 7. In their last 1 meeting, Fluminense won 1, Bangu won 0 and 0 ended level.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Fluminense vs Bangu?

Our pre-match prediction is Fluminense to win (75% confidence) at odds of 1.19. Win chances: Fluminense 67%, draw 16%, Bangu 17%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Fluminense vs Bangu?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Our pick is Under 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 41%).

What time is Fluminense vs Bangu?

Fluminense vs Bangu (Carioca 1) was played on Monday 16 February 2026 at 22:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Fluminense vs Bangu?

The double chance 12 (Fluminense or Bangu) covers two outcomes. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.