FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction

Bundesliga · Sat 10 Oct 2026
Germany flag Germany : Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05WLLLL
3 - 4
Full time · HT 2 - 2
Bayer LeverkusenLWLLW
Kick-offSat 10 Oct, 14:30
Our tip2 @ 2.20 ✓
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence60%

Full-time report

Our tip2 ✓
Double chance12 ✓
BTTSYes ✓
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✓

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
FSV Mainz 05WLLLL
07 Nov 26HBayern München1 - 2Bundesliga
30 Oct 26ASV Elversberg1 - 4Bundesliga
27 Oct 26AVfL Bochum0 - 2DFB Pokal
24 Oct 26HWerder Bremen2 - 3Bundesliga
17 Oct 26AFC Schalke 041 - 0Bundesliga
Bayer LeverkusenLWLLW
08 Nov 26A1. FC Köln2 - 1Bundesliga
05 Nov 26HMarseille0 - 1UEFA Europa League
31 Oct 26HVfB Stuttgart2 - 4Bundesliga
28 Oct 26H1. FC Nürnberg5 - 2DFB Pokal
25 Oct 26A1899 Hoffenheim0 - 3Bundesliga

Head to head

FSV Mainz 05 9 · Draws 5 · Bayer Leverkusen 19 (33 meetings, last 10 below)

10 Oct 26FSV Mainz 053 - 4Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga
28 Feb 26Bayer Leverkusen1 - 1FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga
18 Oct 25FSV Mainz 053 - 4Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga
17 May 25FSV Mainz 052 - 2Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga
14 Jan 25Bayer Leverkusen1 - 0FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga
23 Feb 24Bayer Leverkusen2 - 1FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga
30 Sep 23FSV Mainz 050 - 3Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga
19 Feb 23Bayer Leverkusen2 - 3FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga
27 Aug 22FSV Mainz 050 - 3Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga
18 Feb 22FSV Mainz 053 - 2Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga

Full head to head: FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen →

Our prediction

Bayer Leverkusen to win

@ 2.20
Double chance
12  •  FSV Mainz 05 or Bayer Leverkusen
@ 1.25
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.40
Confidence
60%

Our record

Our tips on FSV Mainz 05last 20 tipped matches
11/2055%
Our tips on Bayer Leverkusenlast 20 tipped matches
14/2070%
Our tips in Bundesligalast 30 days
20/3656%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
90%
Over 2.5: 74%Under 2.5: 26%
Expected goals
1.94FSV Mainz 05
3.88Total
1.94Bayer Leverkusen

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 9% @ 7.00
1 – 2 Bayer Leverkusen win 7% @ 9.00 Our pick
2 – 1 FSV Mainz 05 win 7% @ 10.00
2 – 2 Draw 7% @ 10.00
0 – 1 Bayer Leverkusen win 5% @ 12.00

Final score: 3 – 4 – not in our list. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

FSV Mainz 0533%
Draw17%
Bayer Leverkusen50%

Odds (1X2)

12.88
X3.60
22.20

FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen preview and result

FSV Mainz 05 and Bayer Leverkusen met in the Bundesliga on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 14:30 (Nigerian time). The match finished 3 - 4, 2 - 2 at half time.

Our model gives FSV Mainz 05 a 33% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Bayer Leverkusen 50%. Our pick was Bayer Leverkusen to win with 60% confidence at odds of 2.20. The pick came in ✓. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (FSV Mainz 05 or Bayer Leverkusen) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.25.

Goals: we expect about 3.9 goals (1.9 for FSV Mainz 05, 1.9 for Bayer Leverkusen). The chance of three or more goals is 74%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (90% confidence). 7 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

FSV Mainz 05 have 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (W-L-L-L-L), scoring 5 and conceding 11. Bayer Leverkusen have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-W-L-L-W), scoring 9 and conceding 11. In their last 10 meetings, FSV Mainz 05 won 9, Bayer Leverkusen won 19 and 5 ended level. In the table, FSV Mainz 05 are 12th with 10 points and Bayer Leverkusen are 5th with 16 points.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen?

Our pre-match prediction is Bayer Leverkusen to win (60% confidence) at odds of 2.20. Win chances: FSV Mainz 05 33%, draw 17%, Bayer Leverkusen 50%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen?

We expect about 3.9 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 90% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 74%).

What time is FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen?

FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen (Bundesliga) was played on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 14:30 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen?

The double chance 12 (FSV Mainz 05 or Bayer Leverkusen) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.25. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Bundesliga table

FSV Mainz 0512th10 pts
Bayer Leverkusen5th16 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Bayern München 9630 2021
2 Borussia Dortmund 9630 921
3 SC Freiburg 9612 1019
4 RB Leipzig 9603 1418
5 Bayer Leverkusen 9513 316
6 Werder Bremen 9432 215
7 SV Elversberg 9414 -113
8 VfB Stuttgart 9405 012
9 1899 Hoffenheim 9405 -112
10 Eintracht Frankfurt 9333 -512
11 Hamburger SV 9405 -1012
12 FSV Mainz 05 9315 -110
13 SC Paderborn 07 9243 -310
14 FC Augsburg 9234 09
15 1. FC Köln 9234 -49
16 Union Berlin 9144 -147
17 FC Schalke 04 9135 -66
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach 9117 -134