FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg Prediction

Bundesliga · Sun 12 Apr 2026
Germany flag Germany : Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05WLLLL
18:30
⏳ Result pending · Sun 12 Apr
SC FreiburgLLWWW
Kick-offSun 12 Apr, 18:30
Our tip1 @ 2.26
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence55%

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
FSV Mainz 05WLLLL
07 Nov 26HBayern München1 - 2Bundesliga
30 Oct 26ASV Elversberg1 - 4Bundesliga
27 Oct 26AVfL Bochum0 - 2DFB Pokal
24 Oct 26HWerder Bremen2 - 3Bundesliga
17 Oct 26AFC Schalke 041 - 0Bundesliga
SC FreiburgLLWWW
05 Nov 26ATrabzonspor1 - 0UEFA Europa Conference League
31 Oct 26AFC Augsburg2 - 1Bundesliga
28 Oct 26HVfL Wolfsburg3 - 2DFB Pokal
25 Oct 26HBayern München1 - 3Bundesliga
22 Oct 26AMonaco0 - 3UEFA Europa Conference League

Head to head

Full head to head: FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg →

Our prediction

FSV Mainz 05 to win

@ 2.26
Double chance
12  •  FSV Mainz 05 or SC Freiburg
@ 1.33
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.62
Confidence
55%

Our record

Our tips on FSV Mainz 05last 20 tipped matches
11/2055%
Our tips on SC Freiburglast 20 tipped matches
18/2090%
Our tips in Bundesligalast 30 days
20/3656%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
80%
Over 2.5: 57%Under 2.5: 43%
Expected goals
1.66FSV Mainz 05
2.96Total
1.30SC Freiburg

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 12% @ 5.25
1 – 0 FSV Mainz 05 win 8% @ 7.50
2 – 1 FSV Mainz 05 win 8% @ 7.50 Our pick
0 – 0 Draw 7% @ 8.50
0 – 1 SC Freiburg win 7% @ 9.50

Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

FSV Mainz 0544%
Draw19%
SC Freiburg37%

Odds (1X2)

12.26
X3.05
23.35

FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg preview

FSV Mainz 05 host SC Freiburg in the Bundesliga (Germany) on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 18:30 Nigerian time. Here is our prediction, the odds, both teams' recent form and their head-to-head record.

Our model gives FSV Mainz 05 a 44% chance of winning, the draw 19% and SC Freiburg 37%. That makes our pick FSV Mainz 05 to win with 55% confidence at odds of 2.26. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (FSV Mainz 05 or SC Freiburg) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.33.

Goals: we expect about 3.0 goals (1.7 for FSV Mainz 05, 1.3 for SC Freiburg). The chance of three or more goals is 57%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (80% confidence).

Form and head to head

FSV Mainz 05 have 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (W-L-L-L-L), scoring 5 and conceding 11. SC Freiburg have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-L-W-W-W), scoring 7 and conceding 9. In the table, FSV Mainz 05 are 12th with 10 points and SC Freiburg are 3rd with 19 points.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg?

Our prediction is FSV Mainz 05 to win (55% confidence) at odds of 2.26. Win chances: FSV Mainz 05 44%, draw 19%, SC Freiburg 37%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 80% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 57%).

What time is FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg?

FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg (Bundesliga) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 18:30 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg?

The double chance 12 (FSV Mainz 05 or SC Freiburg) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.33. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Bundesliga table

FSV Mainz 0512th10 pts
SC Freiburg3rd19 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Bayern München 9630 2021
2 Borussia Dortmund 9630 921
3 SC Freiburg 9612 1019
4 RB Leipzig 9603 1418
5 Bayer Leverkusen 9513 316
6 Werder Bremen 9432 215
7 SV Elversberg 9414 -113
8 VfB Stuttgart 9405 012
9 1899 Hoffenheim 9405 -112
10 Eintracht Frankfurt 9333 -512
11 Hamburger SV 9405 -1012
12 FSV Mainz 05 9315 -110
13 SC Paderborn 07 9243 -310
14 FC Augsburg 9234 09
15 1. FC Köln 9234 -49
16 Union Berlin 9144 -147
17 FC Schalke 04 9135 -66
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach 9117 -134