Genoa vs Fiorentina Prediction

Serie A · Sat 10 Oct 2026
Italy flag Italy : Serie A
Genoa logoGenoaWLWWW
1 - 0
15'
Fiorentina logoFiorentinaLLLDW
Kick-offSat 10 Oct, 14:00
Our tip2 @ 2.25
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence60%

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
GenoaWLWWW
01 Nov 26ALecce2 - 1Serie A
28 Oct 26HJuventus2 - 0Serie A
25 Oct 26HVenezia1 - 0Serie A
17 Oct 26AAS Roma0 - 2Serie A
10 Oct 26HFiorentina2 - 1Serie A
FiorentinaLLLDW
02 Nov 26ASassuolo4 - 2Serie A
29 Oct 26HAtalanta2 - 2Serie A
25 Oct 26AInter1 - 2Serie A
18 Oct 26HComo1 - 3Serie A
10 Oct 26AGenoa1 - 2Serie A

Head to head

Our prediction

Fiorentina to win

@ 2.25
Backup prediction
X2  •  Draw or Fiorentina
@ 1.35
Confidence
60%

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
85%
Over 2.5: 60%Under 2.5: 40%
Expected goals
1.02Genoa
3.10Total
2.08Fiorentina

Win probability

Genoa30%
Draw18%
Fiorentina52%

Odds (1X2)

13.10
X3.20
22.25

Genoa vs Fiorentina preview

Genoa v Fiorentina in the Serie A is under way – the score is 1 - 0 (15').

Our model gives Genoa a 30% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Fiorentina 52%. That makes our pick Fiorentina to win with 60% confidence at odds of 2.25. For a safer option, the double chance X2 (Draw or Fiorentina) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.35.

Goals: we expect about 3.1 goals (1.0 for Genoa, 2.1 for Fiorentina). The chance of three or more goals is 60%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (85% confidence).

Form and head to head

Genoa have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (W-L-W-W-W), scoring 7 and conceding 4. Fiorentina have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-L-L-D-W), scoring 9 and conceding 11. In the table, Genoa are 11th with 13 points and Fiorentina are 16th with 8 points.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Genoa vs Fiorentina?

Our prediction is Fiorentina to win (60% confidence) at odds of 2.25. Win chances: Genoa 30%, draw 18%, Fiorentina 52%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Genoa vs Fiorentina?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 85% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 60%).

What time is Genoa vs Fiorentina?

Genoa vs Fiorentina (Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 14:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Genoa vs Fiorentina?

The double chance X2 (Draw or Fiorentina) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.35. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Serie A table

Genoa11th13 pts
Fiorentina16th8 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Lazio 10910 1628
2 Inter 10811 1325
3 AS Roma 10730 1824
4 Como 10721 1023
5 AC Milan 10631 921
6 Frosinone 10622 1020
7 Juventus 10523 317
8 Napoli 10424 414
9 Bologna 10424 114
10 Torino 10415 -213
11 Genoa 10415 -413
12 Cagliari 10415 -613
13 Atalanta 10325 -411
14 Lecce 10307 -109
15 Parma 10226 -78
16 Fiorentina 10226 -88
17 Sassuolo 10226 -108
18 Monza 10217 -77
19 Udinese 10127 -125
20 Venezia 10109 -143