Gimnasia M. vs Independiente Prediction

Liga Profesional Argentina · Wed 25 Feb 2026
Argentina flag Argentina : Liga Profesional Argentina
Gimnasia M.WLLDD
1 - 1
Full time · HT 1 - 1
IndependienteDDLDW
Kick-offWed 25 Feb, 02:00
Our tip2 @ 2.25 ✗
GoalsUnder 2.5
Confidence65%

Full-time report

Our tip2 ✗
Double chance12 ✗
BTTSNo ✗
Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 ✓

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
Gimnasia M.WLLDD
08 Nov 26HIndepend. Rivadavia1 - 1Liga Profesional Argentina
01 Nov 26ALanus1 - 1Liga Profesional Argentina
23 Oct 26HPlatense1 - 2Liga Profesional Argentina
17 Oct 26AVelez Sarsfield0 - 1Liga Profesional Argentina
12 Oct 26HNewells Old Boys1 - 0Liga Profesional Argentina
IndependienteDDLDW
08 Nov 26HDeportivo Riestra2 - 1Liga Profesional Argentina
31 Oct 26ADefensa Y Justicia1 - 1Liga Profesional Argentina
25 Oct 26HBoca Juniors0 - 1Liga Profesional Argentina
18 Oct 26ARacing Club1 - 1Liga Profesional Argentina
12 Oct 26ATalleres Cordoba0 - 0Liga Profesional Argentina

Head to head

Full head to head: Gimnasia M. vs Independiente →

Our prediction

Independiente to win

@ 2.25
Double chance
12  •  Gimnasia M. or Independiente
@ 1.35
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
@ 1.57
Confidence
65%

Our record

Our tips on Gimnasia M.last 20 tipped matches
10/2050%
Our tips on Independientelast 20 tipped matches
7/2035%
Our tips in Liga Profesional Argentinalast 30 days
34/6850%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Confidence
80%
Over 2.5: 34%Under 2.5: 66%
Expected goals
0.46Gimnasia M.
2.08Total
1.62Independiente

Possible correct scores

0 – 1 Independiente win 15% @ 4.50 Our pick
1 – 1 Draw 13% @ 5.00 ✓ Final score
0 – 0 Draw 11% @ 5.75
1 – 0 Gimnasia M. win 11% @ 6.25
0 – 2 Independiente win 8% @ 8.00

Final score: 1 – 1 – in our list ✓. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Gimnasia M.26%
Draw19%
Independiente55%

Odds (1X2)

13.60
X2.88
22.25

Gimnasia M. vs Independiente preview and result

Gimnasia M. and Independiente met in the Liga Profesional Argentina on Wednesday 25 February 2026 at 02:00 (Nigerian time). The match finished 1 - 1, 1 - 1 at half time.

Our model gives Gimnasia M. a 26% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Independiente 55%. Our pick was Independiente to win with 65% confidence at odds of 2.25. The pick lost this time ✗. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Gimnasia M. or Independiente) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.35.

Goals: we expect about 2.1 goals (0.5 for Gimnasia M., 1.6 for Independiente). The chance of three or more goals is 34%, so our goals pick is Under 2.5 (80% confidence). 2 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Gimnasia M. have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (W-L-L-D-D), scoring 4 and conceding 5. Independiente have 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (D-D-L-D-W), scoring 4 and conceding 4. In the table, Gimnasia M. are 11th with 19 points and Independiente are 5th with 24 points.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Gimnasia M. vs Independiente?

Our pre-match prediction is Independiente to win (65% confidence) at odds of 2.25. Win chances: Gimnasia M. 26%, draw 19%, Independiente 55%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Gimnasia M. vs Independiente?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Our pick is Under 2.5 with 80% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 34%).

What time is Gimnasia M. vs Independiente?

Gimnasia M. vs Independiente (Liga Profesional Argentina) was played on Wednesday 25 February 2026 at 02:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Gimnasia M. vs Independiente?

The double chance 12 (Gimnasia M. or Independiente) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.35. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Liga Profesional Argentina table

Gimnasia M.11th19 pts
Independiente5th24 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Estudiantes L.P. 16943 1231
2 Boca Juniors 16862 1330
3 Velez Sarsfield 16772 628
4 Talleres Cordoba 16754 426
5 Independiente 16664 424
6 Lanus 16664 324
7 San Lorenzo 16574 022
8 Union Santa Fe 16565 421
9 Instituto Cordoba 16637 021
10 Defensa Y Justicia 16475 -319
11 Gimnasia M. 16547 -819
12 Platense 16376 -516
13 Central Cordoba de Santiago 16448 -1016
14 Newells Old Boys 16367 -1215
15 Deportivo Riestra 16187 -711