Gremio vs Bahia Prediction

Serie A · Thu 19 Nov 2026
Brazil flag Brazil : Serie A
GremioLWWWL
01:30
Thu 19 Nov, 01:30
BahiaLWLDW
Kick-offThu 19 Nov, 01:30
Our tip2 @ 2.90
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence55%

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
GremioLWWWL
04 Nov 26AFlamengo1 - 3Serie A
01 Nov 26HAtletico-MG2 - 0Copa Do Brasil
30 Oct 26HAtletico Paranaense2 - 0Serie A
26 Oct 26ACoritiba1 - 0Serie A
18 Oct 26HCruzeiro2 - 4Serie A
BahiaLWLDW
29 Oct 26HSao Paulo3 - 2Serie A
25 Oct 26ASantos1 - 1Serie A
18 Oct 26HFlamengo0 - 3Serie A
11 Oct 26HMirassol1 - 0Serie A
09 Oct 26APalmeiras0 - 1Serie A

Head to head

Gremio 14 · Draws 9 · Bahia 8 (31 meetings, last 10 below)

17 May 26Bahia1 - 1GremioSerie A
19 Oct 25Bahia4 - 0GremioSerie A
25 May 25Gremio1 - 0BahiaSerie A
17 Aug 24Gremio0 - 2BahiaSerie A
28 Apr 24Bahia1 - 0GremioSerie A
04 Nov 23Gremio1 - 0BahiaSerie A
12 Jul 23Gremio1 - 1BahiaCopa Do Brasil
05 Jul 23Bahia1 - 1GremioCopa Do Brasil
01 Jul 23Bahia1 - 2GremioSerie A
16 Oct 22Gremio1 - 1BahiaSerie B

Full head to head: Gremio vs Bahia →

Our prediction

Bahia to win

@ 2.90
Double chance
12  •  Gremio or Bahia
@ 1.30
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.57
Confidence
55%

Our record

Our tips on Gremiolast 20 tipped matches
12/2060%
Our tips on Bahialast 20 tipped matches
12/2060%
Our tips in Serie Alast 30 days
25/4063%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Tap your pick – see what other fans think.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 49%Under 2.5: 51%
Expected goals
1.33Gremio
2.65Total
1.32Bahia

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 11% @ 6.50
2 – 1 Gremio win 8% @ 9.50
1 – 0 Gremio win 7% @ 10.00
1 – 2 Bahia win 7% @ 11.00 Our pick
2 – 2 Draw 6% @ 12.00

Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Gremio39%
Draw17%
Bahia44%

Odds (1X2)

12.30
X3.40
22.90

Gremio vs Bahia preview

Gremio host Bahia in the Serie A (Brazil) on Thursday 19 November 2026 at 01:30 Nigerian time. Here is our prediction, the odds, both teams' recent form and their head-to-head record.

Our model gives Gremio a 39% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Bahia 44%. That makes our pick Bahia to win with 55% confidence at odds of 2.90. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Gremio or Bahia) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.30.

Goals: we expect about 2.7 goals (1.3 for Gremio, 1.3 for Bahia). The chance of three or more goals is 49%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (75% confidence).

Form and head to head

Gremio have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-W-W-W-L), scoring 8 and conceding 7. Bahia have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-W-L-D-W), scoring 5 and conceding 7. In their last 10 meetings, Gremio won 14, Bahia won 8 and 9 ended level. In the table, Gremio are 18th with 37 points and Bahia are 6th with 53 points.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Gremio vs Bahia?

Our prediction is Bahia to win (55% confidence) at odds of 2.90. Win chances: Gremio 39%, draw 17%, Bahia 44%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Gremio vs Bahia?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 49%).

What time is Gremio vs Bahia?

Gremio vs Bahia (Serie A) kicks off on Thursday 19 November 2026 at 01:30 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Gremio vs Bahia?

The double chance 12 (Gremio or Bahia) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.30. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Serie A table

Gremio18th37 pts
Bahia6th53 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Flamengo 342374 4276
2 Palmeiras 3421103 3973
3 Cruzeiro 3418610 760
4 Fluminense 341699 1357
5 Atletico Paranaense 3415910 854
6 Bahia 3414119 553
7 Atletico-MG 3414812 450
8 RB Bragantino 3413813 547
9 Santos 34121111 147
10 Sao Paulo 3412814 044
11 Botafogo 3411914 -742
12 Coritiba 3411914 -1142
13 Vasco DA Gama 3311814 -741
14 Mirassol 34101014 -940
15 Vitoria 3410816 -1638
16 Internacional 3491114 -438
17 Corinthians 3491015 -637
18 Gremio 3491015 -937
19 Remo 3461117 -2029
20 Chapecoense-sc 334920 -3521