Gremio vs Sao Paulo Prediction

Serie A · Sat 8 Aug 2026
Brazil flag Brazil : Serie A
GremioLWWWL
2 - 1
Full time · HT 0 - 1
Sao PauloWWDLD
Kick-offSat 8 Aug, 20:00
Our tip1 @ 2.28 ✓
GoalsUnder 2.5
Confidence55%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✓
Double chance12 ✓
BTTSNo ✗
Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 ✗

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
GremioLWWWL
04 Nov 26AFlamengo1 - 3Serie A
01 Nov 26HAtletico-MG2 - 0Copa Do Brasil
30 Oct 26HAtletico Paranaense2 - 0Serie A
26 Oct 26ACoritiba1 - 0Serie A
18 Oct 26HCruzeiro2 - 4Serie A
Sao PauloWWDLD
05 Nov 26HCorinthians0 - 0Serie A
29 Oct 26ABahia2 - 3Serie A
24 Oct 26AMirassol1 - 1Serie A
18 Oct 26HVasco DA Gama1 - 0Serie A
11 Oct 26HVitoria2 - 1Serie A

Head to head

Full head to head: Gremio vs Sao Paulo →

Our prediction

Gremio to win

@ 2.28
Double chance
12  •  Gremio or Sao Paulo
@ 1.28
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
@ 1.95
Confidence
55%

Our record

Our tips on Gremiolast 20 tipped matches
12/2060%
Our tips on Sao Paulolast 20 tipped matches
10/2050%
Our tips in Serie Alast 30 days
31/5062%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 43%Under 2.5: 57%
Expected goals
1.54Gremio
2.40Total
0.86Sao Paulo

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 12% @ 5.50
1 – 0 Gremio win 10% @ 6.25 Our pick
2 – 1 Gremio win 8% @ 7.50 ✓ Final score
0 – 1 Sao Paulo win 8% @ 7.50
0 – 0 Draw 8% @ 8.00

Final score: 2 – 1 – in our list ✓. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Gremio45%
Draw18%
Sao Paulo37%

Odds (1X2)

12.28
X3.20
23.15

Gremio vs Sao Paulo preview and result

Gremio and Sao Paulo met in the Serie A on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 20:00 (Nigerian time). The match finished 2 - 1, 0 - 1 at half time.

Our model gives Gremio a 45% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Sao Paulo 37%. Our pick was Gremio to win with 55% confidence at odds of 2.28. The pick came in ✓. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Gremio or Sao Paulo) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.28.

Goals: we expect about 2.4 goals (1.5 for Gremio, 0.9 for Sao Paulo). The chance of three or more goals is 43%, so our goals pick is Under 2.5 (75% confidence). 3 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Gremio have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-W-W-W-L), scoring 8 and conceding 7. Sao Paulo have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (W-W-D-L-D), scoring 6 and conceding 5. In the table, Gremio are 18th with 37 points and Sao Paulo are 10th with 44 points.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Gremio vs Sao Paulo?

Our pre-match prediction is Gremio to win (55% confidence) at odds of 2.28. Win chances: Gremio 45%, draw 18%, Sao Paulo 37%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Gremio vs Sao Paulo?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Our pick is Under 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 43%).

What time is Gremio vs Sao Paulo?

Gremio vs Sao Paulo (Serie A) was played on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 20:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Gremio vs Sao Paulo?

The double chance 12 (Gremio or Sao Paulo) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.28. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Serie A table

Gremio18th37 pts
Sao Paulo10th44 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Flamengo 342374 4276
2 Palmeiras 3421103 3973
3 Cruzeiro 3418610 760
4 Fluminense 341699 1357
5 Atletico Paranaense 3415910 854
6 Bahia 3414119 553
7 Atletico-MG 3414812 450
8 RB Bragantino 3413813 547
9 Santos 34121111 147
10 Sao Paulo 3412814 044
11 Botafogo 3411914 -742
12 Coritiba 3411914 -1142
13 Vasco DA Gama 3311814 -741
14 Mirassol 34101014 -940
15 Vitoria 3410816 -1638
16 Internacional 3491114 -438
17 Corinthians 3491015 -637
18 Gremio 3491015 -937
19 Remo 3461117 -2029
20 Chapecoense-sc 334920 -3521