Groningen vs Ajax Prediction

Eredivisie · Sat 7 Mar 2026
Netherlands flag Netherlands : Eredivisie
GroningenWLDLL
16:30
⏳ Result pending · Sat 7 Mar
AjaxLWWWW
Kick-offSat 7 Mar, 16:30
Our tip2 @ 2.28
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence60%

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
GroningenWLDLL
01 Nov 26HSparta Rotterdam2 - 3Eredivisie
29 Oct 26HEmmen0 - 2KNVB Beker
25 Oct 26ANEC Nijmegen2 - 2Eredivisie
18 Oct 26HAjax2 - 5Eredivisie
11 Oct 26AExcelsior5 - 1Eredivisie
AjaxLWWWW
31 Oct 26HAZ Alkmaar1 - 0Eredivisie
25 Oct 26ASparta Rotterdam2 - 1Eredivisie
22 Oct 26HAtalanta2 - 0UEFA Europa Conference League
18 Oct 26AGroningen5 - 2Eredivisie
15 Oct 26AHNK Hajduk Split1 - 2UEFA Europa Conference League

Head to head

Groningen 5 · Draws 4 · Ajax 23 (32 meetings, last 10 below)

18 Oct 26Groningen2 - 5AjaxEredivisie
21 May 26Ajax2 - 0GroningenEredivisie
07 Mar 26Groningen3 - 1AjaxEredivisie
02 Dec 25Ajax2 - 0GroningenEredivisie
14 May 25Groningen2 - 2AjaxEredivisie
06 Oct 24Ajax3 - 1GroningenEredivisie
16 May 23Groningen2 - 3AjaxEredivisie
14 Aug 22Ajax6 - 1GroningenEredivisie
02 Apr 22Groningen1 - 3AjaxEredivisie
25 Sep 21Ajax3 - 0GroningenEredivisie

Full head to head: Groningen vs Ajax →

Our prediction

Ajax to win

@ 2.28
Double chance
12  •  Groningen or Ajax
@ 1.22
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.50
Confidence
60%

Our record

Our tips on Groningenlast 20 tipped matches
10/2050%
Our tips on Ajaxlast 20 tipped matches
12/2060%
Our tips in Eredivisielast 30 days
17/3647%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
80%
Over 2.5: 56%Under 2.5: 44%
Expected goals
1.11Groningen
2.92Total
1.81Ajax

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 10% @ 6.25
1 – 2 Ajax win 8% @ 7.50 Our pick
2 – 1 Groningen win 7% @ 8.50
0 – 1 Ajax win 7% @ 9.00
1 – 0 Groningen win 6% @ 10.00

Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Groningen30%
Draw17%
Ajax53%

Odds (1X2)

12.78
X3.65
22.28

Groningen vs Ajax preview

Groningen host Ajax in the Eredivisie (Netherlands) on Saturday 7 March 2026 at 16:30 Nigerian time. Here is our prediction, the odds, both teams' recent form and their head-to-head record.

Our model gives Groningen a 30% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Ajax 53%. That makes our pick Ajax to win with 60% confidence at odds of 2.28. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Groningen or Ajax) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.22.

Goals: we expect about 2.9 goals (1.1 for Groningen, 1.8 for Ajax). The chance of three or more goals is 56%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (80% confidence).

Form and head to head

Groningen have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (W-L-D-L-L), scoring 11 and conceding 13. Ajax have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (L-W-W-W-W), scoring 11 and conceding 5. In their last 10 meetings, Groningen won 5, Ajax won 23 and 4 ended level. In the table, Groningen are 9th with 15 points and Ajax are 3rd with 25 points.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Groningen vs Ajax?

Our prediction is Ajax to win (60% confidence) at odds of 2.28. Win chances: Groningen 30%, draw 17%, Ajax 53%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Groningen vs Ajax?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 80% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 56%).

What time is Groningen vs Ajax?

Groningen vs Ajax (Eredivisie) kicks off on Saturday 7 March 2026 at 16:30 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Groningen vs Ajax?

The double chance 12 (Groningen or Ajax) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.22. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Eredivisie table

Groningen9th15 pts
Ajax3rd25 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 PSV Eindhoven 12822 2526
2 Feyenoord 12741 1925
3 Ajax 12741 1725
4 Twente 12732 1824
5 AZ Alkmaar 12723 823
6 Heerenveen 12633 821
7 Fortuna Sittard 12552 020
8 GO Ahead Eagles 12453 -317
9 Groningen 12435 115
10 Cambuur 12435 -215
11 NEC Nijmegen 12354 -114
12 Sparta Rotterdam 12336 -812
13 PEC Zwolle 12336 -1112
14 Utrecht 12336 -1312
15 Excelsior 12327 -1311
16 Telstar 12246 -710
17 ADO Den Haag 12237 -99
18 Willem II 12039 -293