Groningen vs Ajax Prediction

Eredivisie · Sun 18 Oct 2026
Netherlands flag Netherlands : Eredivisie
GroningenWLDLL
2 - 5
Full time · HT 0 - 2
AjaxLWWWW
Kick-offSun 18 Oct, 15:45
Our tip2 @ 1.85 ✓
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence75%

Full-time report

Our tip2 ✓
Double chance12 ✓
BTTSYes ✓
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✓

Goals & cards

10'✕Davy Klaassen (missed pen)
Brynjólfur Darri WillumssonPenalty cancelledVAR16'
27'⚽J. Brandt
37'⚽A. Bouwman
Thom Van Bergen40'
45+2'Dies Janse
B. Willumsson⚽49'
56'VARDavy KlaassenGoal cancelled
60'⚽J. BrandtAssist: O. Wijndal
69'⚽J. Mokio
75'⚽J. MokioAssist: D. Klaassen
T. van Bergen⚽83'
90'Lucas Oliveira·Rosa
Thom Van Bergen (missed pen)✕90+1'

Match stats

GroningenAjax
57%Possession43%
2.29Expected goals (xG)3.04
16Shots15
5Shots on target11
7Corners4
12Fouls17
1Offsides4
1Yellow cards2
4Saves3
Line-ups
Groningen4-2-3-1
  1. 1E. VaessenG
  2. 14J. SchreudersD
  3. 3T. BlokzijlD
  4. 5M. RenteD
  5. 33H. HateboerD
  6. 8T. de JongeM
  7. 24P. ClementM
  8. 17D. van der WerffM
  9. 26T. van BergenM
  10. 11J. OndrejkaM
  11. 9B. WillumssonF

Coach: Dick Lukkien

Ajax4-3-3
  1. 1M. ter StegenG
  2. 2L. RosaD
  3. 30A. BouwmanD
  4. 36D. JanseD
  5. 5O. WijndalD
  6. 18D. KlaassenM
  7. 4S. AmrabatM
  8. 24J. MokioM
  9. 8J. BrandtF
  10. 38Marcos LeonardoF
  11. 10O. GloukhF

Coach: Michel

Referee: Dennis Higler · Venue: Hitachi Capital Mobility Stadion, Groningen

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
GroningenWLDLL
01 Nov 26HSparta Rotterdam2 - 3Eredivisie
29 Oct 26HEmmen0 - 2KNVB Beker
25 Oct 26ANEC Nijmegen2 - 2Eredivisie
18 Oct 26HAjax2 - 5Eredivisie
11 Oct 26AExcelsior5 - 1Eredivisie
AjaxLWWWW
31 Oct 26HAZ Alkmaar1 - 0Eredivisie
25 Oct 26ASparta Rotterdam2 - 1Eredivisie
22 Oct 26HAtalanta2 - 0UEFA Europa Conference League
18 Oct 26AGroningen5 - 2Eredivisie
15 Oct 26AHNK Hajduk Split1 - 2UEFA Europa Conference League

Head to head

Full head to head: Groningen vs Ajax →

Our prediction

Ajax to win

@ 1.85
Double chance
12  •  Groningen or Ajax
@ 1.22
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.36
Confidence
75%

Our record

Our tips in Eredivisielast 30 days
20/4445%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
95%
Over 2.5: 78%Under 2.5: 22%
Expected goals
1.98Groningen
4.13Total
2.15Ajax

Possible correct scores

1 – 2 Ajax win 8% @ 8.50 Our pick
1 – 1 Draw 7% @ 9.00
2 – 2 Draw 6% @ 11.00
2 – 1 Groningen win 6% @ 12.00
0 – 2 Ajax win 6% @ 12.00

Final score: 2 – 5 – not in our list. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Groningen20%
Draw14%
Ajax66%

Odds (1X2)

13.30
X4.00
21.85

Groningen vs Ajax preview and result

Groningen and Ajax met in the Eredivisie on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 15:45 (Nigerian time). The match finished 2 - 5, 0 - 2 at half time.

Our model gives Groningen a 20% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Ajax 66%. Our pick was Ajax to win with 75% confidence at odds of 1.85. The pick came in ✓. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Groningen or Ajax) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.22.

Goals: we expect about 4.1 goals (2.0 for Groningen, 2.2 for Ajax). The chance of three or more goals is 78%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (95% confidence). 7 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Groningen have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (W-L-D-L-L), scoring 11 and conceding 13. Ajax have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (L-W-W-W-W), scoring 11 and conceding 5. In the table, Groningen are 9th with 15 points and Ajax are 3rd with 25 points.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Groningen vs Ajax?

Our pre-match prediction is Ajax to win (75% confidence) at odds of 1.85. Win chances: Groningen 20%, draw 14%, Ajax 66%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Groningen vs Ajax?

We expect about 4.1 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 95% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 78%).

What time is Groningen vs Ajax?

Groningen vs Ajax (Eredivisie) was played on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 15:45 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Groningen vs Ajax?

The double chance 12 (Groningen or Ajax) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.22. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Eredivisie table

Groningen9th15 pts
Ajax3rd25 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 PSV Eindhoven 12822 2526
2 Feyenoord 12741 1925
3 Ajax 12741 1725
4 Twente 12732 1824
5 AZ Alkmaar 12723 823
6 Heerenveen 12633 821
7 Fortuna Sittard 12552 020
8 GO Ahead Eagles 12453 -317
9 Groningen 12435 115
10 Cambuur 12435 -215
11 NEC Nijmegen 12354 -114
12 Sparta Rotterdam 12336 -812
13 PEC Zwolle 12336 -1112
14 Utrecht 12336 -1312
15 Excelsior 12327 -1311
16 Telstar 12246 -710
17 ADO Den Haag 12237 -99
18 Willem II 12039 -293