Groningen vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction

Eredivisie · Sun 22 Mar 2026
Netherlands flag Netherlands : Eredivisie
GroningenWLDLL
3 - 0
Full time · HT 1 - 0
AZ AlkmaarDWLLL
Kick-offSun 22 Mar, 16:45
Our tip2 @ 2.42 ✗
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence60%

Full-time report

Our tip2 ✗
Double chance12 ✓
BTTSYes ✗
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✓

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
GroningenWLDLL
01 Nov 26HSparta Rotterdam2 - 3Eredivisie
29 Oct 26HEmmen0 - 2KNVB Beker
25 Oct 26ANEC Nijmegen2 - 2Eredivisie
18 Oct 26HAjax2 - 5Eredivisie
11 Oct 26AExcelsior5 - 1Eredivisie
AZ AlkmaarDWLLL
05 Nov 26HJuventus1 - 2UEFA Europa League
31 Oct 26AAjax0 - 1Eredivisie
25 Oct 26HTwente0 - 2Eredivisie
22 Oct 26AArarat-Armenia4 - 0UEFA Europa League
18 Oct 26ACambuur2 - 2Eredivisie

Head to head

Groningen 9 · Draws 9 · AZ Alkmaar 16 (34 meetings, last 10 below)

22 Mar 26Groningen3 - 0AZ AlkmaarEredivisie
10 Aug 25AZ Alkmaar4 - 1GroningenEredivisie
11 May 25AZ Alkmaar3 - 0GroningenEredivisie
18 Dec 24AZ Alkmaar3 - 1GroningenKNVB Beker
25 Aug 24Groningen0 - 0AZ AlkmaarEredivisie
11 Mar 23AZ Alkmaar1 - 0GroningenEredivisie
01 Oct 22Groningen1 - 4AZ AlkmaarEredivisie
21 Dec 21AZ Alkmaar1 - 0GroningenEredivisie
24 Oct 21Groningen2 - 0AZ AlkmaarEredivisie
13 May 21Groningen0 - 0AZ AlkmaarEredivisie

Full head to head: Groningen vs AZ Alkmaar →

Our prediction

AZ Alkmaar to win

@ 2.42
Double chance
12  •  Groningen or AZ Alkmaar
@ 1.22
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.50
Confidence
60%

Our record

Our tips on Groningenlast 20 tipped matches
10/2050%
Our tips on AZ Alkmaarlast 20 tipped matches
14/2070%
Our tips in Eredivisielast 30 days
19/4048%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
85%
Over 2.5: 58%Under 2.5: 42%
Expected goals
1.33Groningen
3.02Total
1.69AZ Alkmaar

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 10% @ 6.25
2 – 1 Groningen win 8% @ 8.00
1 – 2 AZ Alkmaar win 8% @ 8.00 Our pick
0 – 1 AZ Alkmaar win 7% @ 9.00
1 – 0 Groningen win 6% @ 9.50

Final score: 3 – 0 – not in our list. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Groningen32%
Draw17%
AZ Alkmaar51%

Odds (1X2)

12.58
X3.70
22.42

Groningen vs AZ Alkmaar preview and result

Groningen and AZ Alkmaar met in the Eredivisie on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 16:45 (Nigerian time). The match finished 3 - 0, 1 - 0 at half time.

Our model gives Groningen a 32% chance of winning, the draw 17% and AZ Alkmaar 51%. Our pick was AZ Alkmaar to win with 60% confidence at odds of 2.42. The pick lost this time ✗. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Groningen or AZ Alkmaar) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.22.

Goals: we expect about 3.0 goals (1.3 for Groningen, 1.7 for AZ Alkmaar). The chance of three or more goals is 58%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (85% confidence). 3 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Groningen have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (W-L-D-L-L), scoring 11 and conceding 13. AZ Alkmaar have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (D-W-L-L-L), scoring 7 and conceding 7. In their last 10 meetings, Groningen won 9, AZ Alkmaar won 16 and 9 ended level. In the table, Groningen are 9th with 15 points and AZ Alkmaar are 6th with 20 points.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Groningen vs AZ Alkmaar?

Our pre-match prediction is AZ Alkmaar to win (60% confidence) at odds of 2.42. Win chances: Groningen 32%, draw 17%, AZ Alkmaar 51%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Groningen vs AZ Alkmaar?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 85% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 58%).

What time is Groningen vs AZ Alkmaar?

Groningen vs AZ Alkmaar (Eredivisie) was played on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 16:45 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Groningen vs AZ Alkmaar?

The double chance 12 (Groningen or AZ Alkmaar) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.22. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Eredivisie table

Groningen9th15 pts
AZ Alkmaar6th20 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Feyenoord 12741 1925
2 Ajax 11731 1724
3 PSV Eindhoven 11722 2223
4 Twente 11722 1823
5 Heerenveen 12633 821
6 AZ Alkmaar 11623 720
7 Fortuna Sittard 12552 020
8 GO Ahead Eagles 12453 -317
9 Groningen 11434 215
10 Cambuur 11434 115
11 Utrecht 11335 -1212
12 Sparta Rotterdam 12336 -812
13 PEC Zwolle 12336 -1112
14 NEC Nijmegen 11254 -211
15 Excelsior 12327 -1311
16 Telstar 12246 -710
17 ADO Den Haag 12237 -99
18 Willem II 12039 -293