Iceland vs Bulgaria Prediction

UEFA Nations League · Sat 3 Oct 2026
Europe : UEFA Nations League
Iceland
3 - 0
Full time · HT 1 - 0
Bulgaria
Kick-offSat 3 Oct, 17:00
Our tip1 @ 1.40 ✓
GoalsUnder 2.5
Confidence75%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✓
Double chance12 ✓
BTTSNo ✓
Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 ✗

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away

Head to head

Full head to head: Iceland vs Bulgaria →

Our prediction

Iceland to win

@ 1.40
Double chance
12  •  Iceland or Bulgaria
@ 1.22
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
@ 1.75
Confidence
75%

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Confidence
80%
Over 2.5: 32%Under 2.5: 68%
Expected goals
1.60Iceland
2.00Total
0.40Bulgaria

Possible correct scores

1 – 0 Iceland win 11% @ 6.00 Our pick
2 – 0 Iceland win 10% @ 6.50
2 – 1 Iceland win 9% @ 7.00
1 – 1 Draw 9% @ 7.50
3 – 0 Iceland win 7% @ 9.00 ✓ Final score

Final score: 3 – 0 – in our list ✓. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Iceland66%
Draw15%
Bulgaria19%

Odds (1X2)

11.40
X4.00
27.00

Iceland vs Bulgaria preview and result

Iceland and Bulgaria met in the UEFA Nations League on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 17:00 (Nigerian time). The match finished 3 - 0, 1 - 0 at half time.

Our model gives Iceland a 66% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Bulgaria 19%. Our pick was Iceland to win with 75% confidence at odds of 1.40. The pick came in ✓. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Iceland or Bulgaria) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.22.

Goals: we expect about 2.0 goals (1.6 for Iceland, 0.4 for Bulgaria). The chance of three or more goals is 32%, so our goals pick is Under 2.5 (80% confidence). 3 goals were scored.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Iceland vs Bulgaria?

Our pre-match prediction is Iceland to win (75% confidence) at odds of 1.40. Win chances: Iceland 66%, draw 15%, Bulgaria 19%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Iceland vs Bulgaria?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Our pick is Under 2.5 with 80% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 32%).

What time is Iceland vs Bulgaria?

Iceland vs Bulgaria (UEFA Nations League) was played on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 17:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Iceland vs Bulgaria?

The double chance 12 (Iceland or Bulgaria) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.22. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.