Independiente vs San Lorenzo Prediction

Liga Profesional Argentina · Sun 13 Sep 2026
Argentina flag Argentina : Liga Profesional Argentina
IndependienteLDLDD
1 - 1
Full time · HT 1 - 0
San LorenzoLDLDD
Kick-offSun 13 Sep, 23:15
Our tip1 @ 2.05 ✗
GoalsUnder 2.5
Confidence55%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✗
Backup1X ✓
GoalsUnder 2.5 ✓
Both scoredYes

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
IndependienteLDLDD
31 Oct 26ADefensa Y Justicia1 - 1Liga Profesional Argentina
12 Oct 26ATalleres Cordoba0 - 0Liga Profesional Argentina
02 Oct 26HInstituto Cordoba1 - 4Liga Profesional Argentina
13 Sep 26HSan Lorenzo1 - 1Liga Profesional Argentina
30 Aug 26HGimnasia M.0 - 3Liga Profesional Argentina
San LorenzoLDLDD
31 Oct 26AVelez Sarsfield2 - 2Liga Profesional Argentina
24 Oct 26HNewells Old Boys0 - 0Liga Profesional Argentina
20 Sep 26HBoca Juniors0 - 2Liga Profesional Argentina
13 Sep 26AIndependiente1 - 1Liga Profesional Argentina
01 Sep 26AInstituto Cordoba0 - 1Liga Profesional Argentina

Head to head

Our prediction

Independiente to win

@ 2.05
Backup prediction
1X  •  Independiente or Draw
@ 1.22
Confidence
55%

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Confidence
80%
Over 2.5: 33%Under 2.5: 67%
Expected goals
1.37Independiente
2.04Total
0.67San Lorenzo

Win probability

Independiente49%
Draw19%
San Lorenzo32%

Odds (1X2)

12.05
X2.80
24.00

Independiente vs San Lorenzo preview and result

Independiente and San Lorenzo met in the Liga Profesional Argentina on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 23:15 (Nigerian time). The match finished 1 - 1, 1 - 0 at half time.

Our model gives Independiente a 49% chance of winning, the draw 19% and San Lorenzo 32%. Our pick was Independiente to win with 55% confidence at odds of 2.05. The pick lost this time ✗. For a safer option, the double chance 1X (Independiente or Draw) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.22.

Goals: we expect about 2.0 goals (1.4 for Independiente, 0.7 for San Lorenzo). The chance of three or more goals is 33%, so our goals pick is Under 2.5 (80% confidence). 2 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Independiente have 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-D-L-D-D), scoring 3 and conceding 9. San Lorenzo have 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-D-L-D-D), scoring 3 and conceding 6. In the table, Independiente are 5th with 24 points and San Lorenzo are 7th with 22 points.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Independiente vs San Lorenzo?

Our pre-match prediction is Independiente to win (55% confidence) at odds of 2.05. Win chances: Independiente 49%, draw 19%, San Lorenzo 32%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Independiente vs San Lorenzo?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Our pick is Under 2.5 with 80% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 33%).

What time is Independiente vs San Lorenzo?

Independiente vs San Lorenzo (Liga Profesional Argentina) was played on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 23:15 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Independiente vs San Lorenzo?

The double chance 1X (Independiente or Draw) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.22. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Liga Profesional Argentina table

Independiente5th24 pts
San Lorenzo7th22 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Estudiantes L.P. 16943 1231
2 Boca Juniors 16862 1330
3 Velez Sarsfield 16772 628
4 Talleres Cordoba 16754 426
5 Independiente 16664 424
6 Lanus 16664 324
7 San Lorenzo 16574 022
8 Union Santa Fe 16565 421
9 Instituto Cordoba 16637 021
10 Defensa Y Justicia 16475 -319
11 Gimnasia M. 16547 -819
12 Platense 16376 -516
13 Central Cordoba de Santiago 16448 -1016
14 Newells Old Boys 16367 -1215
15 Deportivo Riestra 16187 -711