Kitakyushu vs Osaka Prediction

J3 League · Sat 17 Oct 2026
Japan flag Japan : J3 League
KitakyushuLWWLL
3 - 1
Full time · HT 1 - 0
OsakaLWWLW
Kick-offSat 17 Oct, 06:00
Our tip2 @ 2.00 ✗
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence55%

Full-time report

Our tip2 ✗
Double chance12 ✓
BTTSYes ✓
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✓

Goals & cards

K. YoshidaAssist: S. Yasumitsu⚽23'
D. Takahashi (pen)⚽74'
77'S. Morimura
80'✕T. Shimada (missed pen)
81'⚽S. Sumida
M. Nishimura⚽84'
90+1'S. Tachino
Line-ups
Kitakyushu
  1. 31K. Otani
  2. 30K. Fukumori
  3. 28K. Yokokubo
  4. 3R. Kamihashi
  5. 20S. Yasumitsu
  6. 66D. Takahashi
  7. 18S. Hiramatsu
  8. 14H. Izawa
  9. 8M. Yoshinaga
  10. 37K. Yoshida
  11. 11S. Koh

Coach: Ryotaro Tanaka

Osaka
  1. 1H. Sugawara
  2. 2K. Sakamoto
  3. 5Y. Minakuchi
  4. 25R. Kuwako
  5. 6S. Tachino
  6. 10R. Kubo
  7. 11G. Yoshida
  8. 14S. Sumida
  9. 28T. Toya
  10. 95K. Isa
  11. 9T. Shimada

Coach: Mitsunori Yabuta

Venue: Mikuni World Stadium Kitakyushu, Kitakyushu

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
KitakyushuLWWLL
07 Nov 26AFC Gifu0 - 1J3 League
03 Nov 26HBiwako Shiga0 - 1J3 League
31 Oct 26ARenofa Yamaguchi2 - 0J3 League
25 Oct 26HParceiro Nagano3 - 1J3 League
21 Oct 26AFukushima United1 - 2J3 League
OsakaLWWLW
04 Nov 26HRoasso Kumamoto2 - 1J3 League
31 Oct 26AFC Gifu0 - 1J3 League
24 Oct 26HKagoshima United2 - 1J3 League
21 Oct 26HNara Club2 - 0J3 League
17 Oct 26AKitakyushu1 - 3J3 League

Head to head

Kitakyushu 3 · Draws 3 · Osaka 1 (7 meetings)

17 Oct 26Kitakyushu3 - 1OsakaJ3 League
19 Sep 25Osaka0 - 3KitakyushuJ3 League
05 Apr 25Kitakyushu1 - 0OsakaJ3 League
19 Oct 24Osaka3 - 2KitakyushuJ3 League
20 Mar 24Kitakyushu0 - 0OsakaJ3 League
24 Sep 23Osaka0 - 0KitakyushuJ3 League
16 Jul 23Kitakyushu0 - 0OsakaJ3 League

Full head to head: Kitakyushu vs Osaka →

Our prediction

Osaka to win

@ 2.00
Double chance
12  •  Kitakyushu or Osaka
@ 1.29
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.55
Confidence
55%

Our record

Our tips on Kitakyushulast 20 tipped matches
10/2050%
Our tips on Osakalast 20 tipped matches
8/2040%
Our tips in J3 Leaguelast 30 days
35/6058%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
80%
Over 2.5: 54%Under 2.5: 46%
Expected goals
1.11Kitakyushu
2.85Total
1.74Osaka

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 10% @ 6.00
1 – 2 Osaka win 7% @ 8.50 Our pick
0 – 1 Osaka win 7% @ 9.00
2 – 1 Kitakyushu win 6% @ 10.00
2 – 2 Draw 6% @ 10.00

Final score: 3 – 1 – not in our list. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Kitakyushu35%
Draw17%
Osaka48%

Odds (1X2)

13.10
X3.25
22.00

Kitakyushu vs Osaka preview and result

Kitakyushu and Osaka met in the J3 League on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 06:00 (Nigerian time). The match finished 3 - 1, 1 - 0 at half time.

Our model gives Kitakyushu a 35% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Osaka 48%. Our pick was Osaka to win with 55% confidence at odds of 2.00. The pick lost this time ✗. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Kitakyushu or Osaka) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.29.

Goals: we expect about 2.9 goals (1.1 for Kitakyushu, 1.7 for Osaka). The chance of three or more goals is 54%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (80% confidence). 4 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Kitakyushu have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-W-W-L-L), scoring 6 and conceding 5. Osaka have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-W-W-L-W), scoring 7 and conceding 6. In their last 7 meetings, Kitakyushu won 3, Osaka won 1 and 3 ended level.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Kitakyushu vs Osaka?

Our pre-match prediction is Osaka to win (55% confidence) at odds of 2.00. Win chances: Kitakyushu 35%, draw 17%, Osaka 48%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Kitakyushu vs Osaka?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 80% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 54%).

What time is Kitakyushu vs Osaka?

Kitakyushu vs Osaka (J3 League) was played on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 06:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Kitakyushu vs Osaka?

The double chance 12 (Kitakyushu or Osaka) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.29. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.