Lech Poznan vs Shakhtar Donetsk Prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · Thu 12 Mar 2026
Europe : UEFA Europa Conference League
Lech PoznanWLWLD
1 - 3
Full time · HT 0 - 1
Shakhtar DonetskLDWWL
Kick-offThu 12 Mar, 18:45
Our tip1 @ 2.60 ✗
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence55%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✗
Double chance12 ✓
BTTSYes ✓
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✓

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
Lech PoznanWLWLD
08 Nov 26HZaglebie Lubin2 - 2Ekstraklasa
05 Nov 26ABenfica1 - 3UEFA Europa League
31 Oct 26HWisla Krakow3 - 1Ekstraklasa
28 Oct 26ASiarka Tarnobrzeg0 - 1Cup
25 Oct 26ALegia Warszawa2 - 1Ekstraklasa
Shakhtar DonetskLDWWL
03 Nov 26HSporting CP0 - 1UEFA Champions League
30 Oct 26HObolon'-Brovar2 - 0Premier League
27 Oct 26HDynamo Kyiv3 - 0Cup
24 Oct 26HZorya Luhansk0 - 0Premier League
21 Oct 26AInter0 - 1UEFA Champions League

Head to head

Lech Poznan 1 · Draws 0 · Shakhtar Donetsk 2 (3 meetings)

19 Mar 26Shakhtar Donetsk1 - 2Lech PoznanUEFA Europa Conference League
12 Mar 26Lech Poznan1 - 3Shakhtar DonetskUEFA Europa Conference League
25 Jan 24Lech Poznan1 - 3Shakhtar DonetskFriendlies Clubs

Full head to head: Lech Poznan vs Shakhtar Donetsk →

Our prediction

Lech Poznan to win

@ 2.60
Double chance
12  •  Lech Poznan or Shakhtar Donetsk
@ 1.25
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.65
Confidence
55%

Our record

Our tips on Lech Poznanlast 20 tipped matches
14/2070%
Our tips on Shakhtar Donetsklast 20 tipped matches
13/2065%
Our tips in UEFA Europa Conference Leaguelast 30 days
19/3653%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 50%Under 2.5: 50%
Expected goals
1.43Lech Poznan
2.69Total
1.26Shakhtar Donetsk

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 11% @ 5.75
1 – 0 Lech Poznan win 8% @ 7.50
0 – 1 Shakhtar Donetsk win 8% @ 7.50
2 – 1 Lech Poznan win 8% @ 8.00 Our pick
1 – 2 Shakhtar Donetsk win 8% @ 8.00

Final score: 1 – 3 – not in our list. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Lech Poznan41%
Draw18%
Shakhtar Donetsk41%

Odds (1X2)

12.60
X3.35
22.60

Lech Poznan vs Shakhtar Donetsk preview and result

Lech Poznan and Shakhtar Donetsk met in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 12 March 2026 at 18:45 (Nigerian time). The match finished 1 - 3, 0 - 1 at half time.

Our model gives Lech Poznan a 41% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Shakhtar Donetsk 41%. Our pick was Lech Poznan to win with 55% confidence at odds of 2.60. The pick lost this time ✗. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Lech Poznan or Shakhtar Donetsk) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.25.

Goals: we expect about 2.7 goals (1.4 for Lech Poznan, 1.3 for Shakhtar Donetsk). The chance of three or more goals is 50%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (75% confidence). 4 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Lech Poznan have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (W-L-W-L-D), scoring 8 and conceding 8. Shakhtar Donetsk have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-D-W-W-L), scoring 5 and conceding 2. In their last 3 meetings, Lech Poznan won 1, Shakhtar Donetsk won 2 and 0 ended level.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Lech Poznan vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

Our pre-match prediction is Lech Poznan to win (55% confidence) at odds of 2.60. Win chances: Lech Poznan 41%, draw 18%, Shakhtar Donetsk 41%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Lech Poznan vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 50%).

What time is Lech Poznan vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

Lech Poznan vs Shakhtar Donetsk (UEFA Europa Conference League) was played on Thursday 12 March 2026 at 18:45 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Lech Poznan vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

The double chance 12 (Lech Poznan or Shakhtar Donetsk) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.25. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

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