Leioa vs Derio Prediction

Tercera División RFEF Group 4 · Sun 12 Apr 2026
Spain flag Spain : Tercera División RFEF Group 4
Leioa
16:00
⏳ Result pending · Sun 12 Apr
Derio
Kick-offSun 12 Apr, 16:00
Our tip1 @ 1.85
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence75%

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away

Head to head

Full head to head: Leioa vs Derio →

Our prediction

Leioa to win

@ 1.85
Double chance
1X  •  Leioa or Draw
@ 1.22
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
Confidence
75%

Our record

Our tips in Tercera División RFEF Group 4last 30 days
20/3754%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 49%Under 2.5: 51%
Expected goals
1.08Leioa
2.64Total
1.56Derio

Possible correct scores

1 – 0 Leioa win 12% @ 6.50
1 – 1 Draw 11% @ 7.00
0 – 0 Draw 10% @ 8.00
2 – 0 Leioa win 9% @ 8.50
2 – 1 Leioa win 8% @ 10.00
3 – 0 Leioa win 5% @ 15.00 Our pick

Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Leioa69%
Draw20%
Derio11%

Odds (1X2)

11.85
X3.30
23.50

Leioa vs Derio preview

Leioa host Derio in the Tercera División RFEF Group 4 (Spain) on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 16:00 Nigerian time. Here is our prediction, the odds, both teams' recent form and their head-to-head record.

Our model gives Leioa a 69% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Derio 11%. That makes our pick Leioa to win with 75% confidence at odds of 1.85. For a safer option, the double chance 1X (Leioa or Draw) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.22.

Goals: we expect about 2.6 goals (1.1 for Leioa, 1.6 for Derio). The chance of three or more goals is 49%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (75% confidence).

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Leioa vs Derio?

Our prediction is Leioa to win (75% confidence) at odds of 1.85. Win chances: Leioa 69%, draw 20%, Derio 11%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Leioa vs Derio?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 49%).

What time is Leioa vs Derio?

Leioa vs Derio (Tercera División RFEF Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 16:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Leioa vs Derio?

The double chance 1X (Leioa or Draw) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.22. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.