Leon vs Atlas Prediction

Liga MX · Sun 5 Apr 2026
Mexico flag Mexico : Liga MX
LeonDLWDL
2 - 0
Full time · HT 1 - 0
AtlasDWLWW
Kick-offSun 5 Apr, 02:06
Our tip1 @ 2.26 ✓
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence55%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✓
Double chance12 ✓
BTTSYes ✗
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✗

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
LeonDLWDL
02 Nov 26ACruz Azul1 - 2Liga MX
24 Oct 26HToluca1 - 1Liga MX
21 Oct 26ATigres UANL2 - 0Liga MX
18 Oct 26HClub America3 - 5Liga MX
10 Oct 26APuebla1 - 1Liga MX
AtlasDWLWW
31 Oct 26AAtletico San Luis1 - 0Liga MX
25 Oct 26HPuebla4 - 3Liga MX
22 Oct 26HClub America2 - 5Liga MX
17 Oct 26ANecaxa2 - 0Liga MX
11 Oct 26HGuadalajara Chivas1 - 1Liga MX

Head to head

Full head to head: Leon vs Atlas →

Our prediction

Leon to win

@ 2.26
Double chance
12  •  Leon or Atlas
@ 1.25
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.70
Confidence
55%

Our record

Our tips on Leonlast 20 tipped matches
7/2035%
Our tips on Atlaslast 20 tipped matches
10/2050%
Our tips in Liga MXlast 30 days
24/4949%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
80%
Over 2.5: 57%Under 2.5: 43%
Expected goals
1.62Leon
2.95Total
1.33Atlas

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 11% @ 5.75
1 – 0 Leon win 9% @ 7.00
2 – 1 Leon win 8% @ 7.50 Our pick
0 – 1 Atlas win 8% @ 8.00
1 – 2 Atlas win 7% @ 8.50

Final score: 2 – 0 – not in our list. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Leon45%
Draw18%
Atlas37%

Odds (1X2)

12.26
X3.35
23.05

Leon vs Atlas preview and result

Leon and Atlas met in the Liga MX on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 02:06 (Nigerian time). The match finished 2 - 0, 1 - 0 at half time.

Our model gives Leon a 45% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Atlas 37%. Our pick was Leon to win with 55% confidence at odds of 2.26. The pick came in ✓. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Leon or Atlas) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.25.

Goals: we expect about 3.0 goals (1.6 for Leon, 1.3 for Atlas). The chance of three or more goals is 57%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (80% confidence). 2 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Leon have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (D-L-W-D-L), scoring 8 and conceding 9. Atlas have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (D-W-L-W-W), scoring 10 and conceding 9. In the table, Leon are 7th with 23 points and Atlas are 5th with 27 points.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Leon vs Atlas?

Our pre-match prediction is Leon to win (55% confidence) at odds of 2.26. Win chances: Leon 45%, draw 18%, Atlas 37%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Leon vs Atlas?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 80% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 57%).

What time is Leon vs Atlas?

Leon vs Atlas (Liga MX) was played on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 02:06 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Leon vs Atlas?

The double chance 12 (Leon or Atlas) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.25. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Liga MX table

Leon7th23 pts
Atlas5th27 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Cruz Azul 161024 1132
2 Club America 16862 1530
3 Guadalajara Chivas 16862 1130
4 Toluca 16763 1427
5 Atlas 16835 -327
6 Santos Laguna 16817 325
7 Leon 16655 223
8 CF Pachuca 16646 922
9 Club Tijuana 16574 322
10 Monterrey 15636 121
11 U.N.A.M. - Pumas 16565 -221
12 Club Queretaro 15627 -520
13 Puebla 16547 -419
14 Atletico San Luis 16547 -519
15 Tigres UANL 16367 -815
16 Atlante FC 16358 -1014
17 Necaxa 16349 -1113
18 FC Juarez 163211 -2111