Leones Negros UDG vs CA La Paz Prediction

Liga De Expansión MX · Sun 13 Sep 2026
Mexico flag Mexico : Liga De Expansión MX
Leones Negros UDGWWLWL
2 - 2
Full time · HT 1 - 0
CA La PazDWWWD
Kick-offSun 13 Sep, 19:00
Our tip2 @ 3.10 ✗
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence55%

Full-time report

Our tip2 ✗
Double chance12 ✗
BTTSYes ✓
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✓

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
Leones Negros UDGWWLWL
13 Nov 26AMonarcas0 - 1Liga De Expansión MX
08 Nov 26HDurango2 - 1Liga De Expansión MX
06 Nov 26ADurango0 - 1Liga De Expansión MX
01 Nov 26HTepatitlán3 - 1Liga De Expansión MX
25 Oct 26AMineros de Zacatecas2 - 0Liga De Expansión MX
CA La PazDWWWD
08 Nov 26HTlaxcala3 - 3Liga de Expansión MX
05 Nov 26ATlaxcala1 - 0Liga de Expansión MX
31 Oct 26HDorados3 - 0Liga de Expansión MX
25 Oct 26ACDS Tampico Madero3 - 1Liga de Expansión MX
17 Oct 26HTlaxcala2 - 2Liga de Expansión MX

Head to head

Leones Negros UDG 3 · Draws 3 · CA La Paz 5 (11 meetings, last 10 below)

13 Sep 26Leones Negros UDG2 - 2CA La PazLiga De Expansión MX
05 Mar 26CA La Paz3 - 0Leones Negros UDGLiga De Expansión MX
14 Sep 25Leones Negros UDG2 - 3CA La PazLiga de Expansión MX
29 Mar 25CA La Paz3 - 1Leones Negros UDGLiga de Expansión MX
13 Oct 24Leones Negros UDG3 - 0CA La PazLiga de Expansión MX
06 May 24Leones Negros UDG3 - 1CA La PazLiga de Expansión MX
03 May 24CA La Paz1 - 1Leones Negros UDGLiga de Expansión MX
28 Mar 24Leones Negros UDG2 - 4CA La PazLiga de Expansión MX
23 Aug 23CA La Paz3 - 0Leones Negros UDGLiga de Expansión MX
24 Feb 23Leones Negros UDG3 - 2CA La PazLiga de Expansión MX

Full head to head: Leones Negros UDG vs CA La Paz →

Our prediction

CA La Paz to win

@ 3.10
Double chance
12  •  Leones Negros UDG or CA La Paz
@ 1.25
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.53
Confidence
55%

Our record

Our tips on Leones Negros UDGlast 20 tipped matches
10/2050%
Our tips on CA La Pazlast 20 tipped matches
8/2040%
Our tips in Liga De Expansión MXlast 30 days
15/3345%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
85%
Over 2.5: 65%Under 2.5: 35%
Expected goals
1.55Leones Negros UDG
3.36Total
1.81CA La Paz

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 9% @ 7.00
2 – 1 Leones Negros UDG win 8% @ 8.50
1 – 0 Leones Negros UDG win 7% @ 9.50
1 – 2 CA La Paz win 6% @ 10.00 Our pick
2 – 0 Leones Negros UDG win 6% @ 11.00

Final score: 2 – 2 – not in our list. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Leones Negros UDG39%
Draw17%
CA La Paz44%

Odds (1X2)

12.00
X3.50
23.10

Leones Negros UDG vs CA La Paz preview and result

Leones Negros UDG and CA La Paz met in the Liga De Expansión MX on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 19:00 (Nigerian time). The match finished 2 - 2, 1 - 0 at half time.

Our model gives Leones Negros UDG a 39% chance of winning, the draw 17% and CA La Paz 44%. Our pick was CA La Paz to win with 55% confidence at odds of 3.10. The pick lost this time ✗. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Leones Negros UDG or CA La Paz) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.25.

Goals: we expect about 3.4 goals (1.6 for Leones Negros UDG, 1.8 for CA La Paz). The chance of three or more goals is 65%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (85% confidence). 4 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Leones Negros UDG have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (W-W-L-W-L), scoring 7 and conceding 4. CA La Paz have 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (D-W-W-W-D), scoring 12 and conceding 6. In their last 10 meetings, Leones Negros UDG won 3, CA La Paz won 5 and 3 ended level.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Leones Negros UDG vs CA La Paz?

Our pre-match prediction is CA La Paz to win (55% confidence) at odds of 3.10. Win chances: Leones Negros UDG 39%, draw 17%, CA La Paz 44%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Leones Negros UDG vs CA La Paz?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 85% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 65%).

What time is Leones Negros UDG vs CA La Paz?

Leones Negros UDG vs CA La Paz (Liga De Expansión MX) was played on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 19:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Leones Negros UDG vs CA La Paz?

The double chance 12 (Leones Negros UDG or CA La Paz) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.25. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.