Leones Negros UDG vs Cancún Prediction

Liga De Expansión MX · Sun 19 Apr 2026
Mexico flag Mexico : Liga De Expansión MX
Leones Negros UDGLWWLW
19:00
⏳ Result pending · Sun 19 Apr
CancúnWDDWW
Kick-offSun 19 Apr, 19:00
Our tip1 @ 2.12
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence55%

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
Leones Negros UDGLWWLW
08 Nov 26HDurango2 - 1Liga De Expansión MX
06 Nov 26ADurango0 - 1Liga De Expansión MX
01 Nov 26HTepatitlán3 - 1Liga De Expansión MX
25 Oct 26AMineros de Zacatecas2 - 0Liga De Expansión MX
18 Oct 26HAlebrijes de Oaxaca1 - 2Liga De Expansión MX
CancúnWDDWW
01 Nov 26HCDS Tampico Madero2 - 0Liga de Expansión MX
24 Oct 26ATepatitlán4 - 0Liga de Expansión MX
18 Oct 26HVenados FC1 - 1Liga de Expansión MX
11 Oct 26AMineros de Zacatecas2 - 2Liga de Expansión MX
04 Oct 26HTapatío1 - 0Liga de Expansión MX

Head to head

Leones Negros UDG 8 · Draws 1 · Cancún 4 (13 meetings, last 10 below)

02 Aug 26Cancún0 - 2Leones Negros UDGLiga de Expansión MX
19 Apr 26Leones Negros UDG1 - 2CancúnLiga de Expansión MX
09 Nov 25Cancún0 - 1Leones Negros UDGLiga de Expansión MX
23 Feb 25Leones Negros UDG1 - 0CancúnLiga de Expansión MX
07 Sep 24Cancún0 - 1Leones Negros UDGLiga de Expansión MX
09 Feb 24Leones Negros UDG2 - 0CancúnLiga de Expansión MX
06 Oct 23Cancún2 - 0Leones Negros UDGLiga de Expansión MX
12 Jan 23Cancún2 - 2Leones Negros UDGLiga de Expansión MX
07 Sep 22Leones Negros UDG3 - 0CancúnLiga de Expansión MX
13 Apr 22Leones Negros UDG1 - 0CancúnLiga de Expansión MX

Full head to head: Leones Negros UDG vs Cancún →

Our prediction

Leones Negros UDG to win

@ 2.12
Double chance
12  •  Leones Negros UDG or Cancún
@ 1.25
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.70
Confidence
55%

Our record

Our tips on Leones Negros UDGlast 20 tipped matches
9/2045%
Our tips on Cancúnlast 20 tipped matches
7/2035%
Our tips in Liga De Expansión MXlast 30 days
15/3247%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 50%Under 2.5: 50%
Expected goals
1.00Leones Negros UDG
2.67Total
1.67Cancún

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 11% @ 5.75
1 – 0 Leones Negros UDG win 10% @ 6.50
2 – 1 Leones Negros UDG win 9% @ 7.00 Our pick
0 – 1 Cancún win 7% @ 8.50
2 – 0 Leones Negros UDG win 7% @ 9.00

Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Leones Negros UDG46%
Draw17%
Cancún37%

Odds (1X2)

12.12
X3.45
23.25

Leones Negros UDG vs Cancún preview

Leones Negros UDG host Cancún in the Liga De Expansión MX (Mexico) on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 19:00 Nigerian time. Here is our prediction, the odds, both teams' recent form and their head-to-head record.

Our model gives Leones Negros UDG a 46% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Cancún 37%. That makes our pick Leones Negros UDG to win with 55% confidence at odds of 2.12. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Leones Negros UDG or Cancún) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.25.

Goals: we expect about 2.7 goals (1.0 for Leones Negros UDG, 1.7 for Cancún). The chance of three or more goals is 50%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (75% confidence).

Form and head to head

Leones Negros UDG have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-W-W-L-W), scoring 8 and conceding 5. Cancún have 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (W-D-D-W-W), scoring 10 and conceding 3. In their last 10 meetings, Leones Negros UDG won 8, Cancún won 4 and 1 ended level.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Leones Negros UDG vs Cancún?

Our prediction is Leones Negros UDG to win (55% confidence) at odds of 2.12. Win chances: Leones Negros UDG 46%, draw 17%, Cancún 37%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Leones Negros UDG vs Cancún?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 50%).

What time is Leones Negros UDG vs Cancún?

Leones Negros UDG vs Cancún (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 19:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Leones Negros UDG vs Cancún?

The double chance 12 (Leones Negros UDG or Cancún) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.25. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.