Leones Negros UDG vs Monarcas Prediction

Liga De Expansión MX · Sun 5 Apr 2026
Mexico flag Mexico : Liga De Expansión MX
Leones Negros UDGLWWLW
2 - 0
Full time · HT 1 - 0
MonarcasDLWLW
Kick-offSun 5 Apr, 02:00
Our tip1 @ 2.44 ✓
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence55%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✓
Double chance12 ✓
BTTSYes ✗
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✗

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
Leones Negros UDGLWWLW
08 Nov 26HDurango2 - 1Liga De Expansión MX
06 Nov 26ADurango0 - 1Liga De Expansión MX
01 Nov 26HTepatitlán3 - 1Liga De Expansión MX
25 Oct 26AMineros de Zacatecas2 - 0Liga De Expansión MX
18 Oct 26HAlebrijes de Oaxaca1 - 2Liga De Expansión MX
MonarcasDLWLW
08 Nov 26HVenados FC2 - 1Liga De Expansión MX
01 Nov 26ADurango1 - 3Liga De Expansión MX
25 Oct 26ATapatío2 - 1Liga De Expansión MX
18 Oct 26HCDS Tampico Madero1 - 2Liga De Expansión MX
10 Oct 26ATepatitlán1 - 1Liga De Expansión MX

Head to head

Leones Negros UDG 10 · Draws 2 · Monarcas 5 (17 meetings, last 10 below)

20 Sep 26Monarcas2 - 0Leones Negros UDGLiga de Expansión MX
05 Apr 26Leones Negros UDG2 - 0MonarcasLiga de Expansión MX
26 Oct 25Monarcas2 - 3Leones Negros UDGLiga de Expansión MX
11 May 25Leones Negros UDG2 - 0MonarcasLiga de Expansión MX
04 May 25Monarcas2 - 0Leones Negros UDGLiga de Expansión MX
21 Mar 25Leones Negros UDG2 - 1MonarcasLiga de Expansión MX
05 Oct 24Monarcas0 - 2Leones Negros UDGLiga de Expansión MX
05 Apr 24Monarcas0 - 2Leones Negros UDGLiga de Expansión MX
19 Nov 23Leones Negros UDG2 - 0MonarcasLiga de Expansión MX
16 Nov 23Monarcas2 - 1Leones Negros UDGLiga de Expansión MX

Full head to head: Leones Negros UDG vs Monarcas →

Our prediction

Leones Negros UDG to win

@ 2.44
Double chance
12  •  Leones Negros UDG or Monarcas
@ 1.25
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.67
Confidence
55%

Our record

Our tips on Leones Negros UDGlast 20 tipped matches
9/2045%
Our tips on Monarcaslast 20 tipped matches
10/2050%
Our tips in Liga De Expansión MXlast 30 days
15/3345%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 50%Under 2.5: 50%
Expected goals
0.88Leones Negros UDG
2.66Total
1.78Monarcas

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 11% @ 5.75
1 – 0 Leones Negros UDG win 8% @ 7.50
2 – 1 Leones Negros UDG win 8% @ 7.50 Our pick
0 – 1 Monarcas win 8% @ 7.50
1 – 2 Monarcas win 8% @ 8.00

Final score: 2 – 0 – not in our list. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Leones Negros UDG42%
Draw17%
Monarcas41%

Odds (1X2)

12.44
X3.40
22.72

Leones Negros UDG vs Monarcas preview and result

Leones Negros UDG and Monarcas met in the Liga De Expansión MX on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 02:00 (Nigerian time). The match finished 2 - 0, 1 - 0 at half time.

Our model gives Leones Negros UDG a 42% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Monarcas 41%. Our pick was Leones Negros UDG to win with 55% confidence at odds of 2.44. The pick came in ✓. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Leones Negros UDG or Monarcas) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.25.

Goals: we expect about 2.7 goals (0.9 for Leones Negros UDG, 1.8 for Monarcas). The chance of three or more goals is 50%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (75% confidence). 2 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Leones Negros UDG have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-W-W-L-W), scoring 8 and conceding 5. Monarcas have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (D-L-W-L-W), scoring 7 and conceding 8. In their last 10 meetings, Leones Negros UDG won 10, Monarcas won 5 and 2 ended level.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Leones Negros UDG vs Monarcas?

Our pre-match prediction is Leones Negros UDG to win (55% confidence) at odds of 2.44. Win chances: Leones Negros UDG 42%, draw 17%, Monarcas 41%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Leones Negros UDG vs Monarcas?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 50%).

What time is Leones Negros UDG vs Monarcas?

Leones Negros UDG vs Monarcas (Liga De Expansión MX) was played on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 02:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Leones Negros UDG vs Monarcas?

The double chance 12 (Leones Negros UDG or Monarcas) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.25. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.