Lexington vs New Mexico United Prediction

USL Championship · Thu 16 Jul 2026
USA flag USA : USL Championship
LexingtonWDWDD
1 - 4
Full time · HT 0 - 2
Kick-offThu 16 Jul, 00:00
Our tip1 @ 1.67 ✗
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence70%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✗
Double chance1X ✗
BTTSYes ✓
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✓

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
LexingtonWDWDD
01 Nov 26HColorado Springs1 - 1USL Championship
25 Oct 26APhoenix Rising3 - 3USL Championship
18 Oct 26ALas Vegas Lights5 - 3USL Championship
09 Oct 26HFC Tulsa0 - 0USL Championship
03 Oct 26HEl Paso Locomotive3 - 1USL Championship
New Mexico United

No matches found.

Head to head

Full head to head: Lexington vs New Mexico United →

Our prediction

Lexington to win

@ 1.67
Double chance
1X  •  Lexington or Draw
@ 1.13
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.70
Confidence
70%

Our record

Our tips on Lexingtonlast 20 tipped matches
11/2055%
Our tips in USL Championshiplast 30 days
23/4156%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 47%Under 2.5: 53%
Expected goals
1.88Lexington
2.54Total
0.66New Mexico United

Possible correct scores

1 – 0 Lexington win 10% @ 6.25
1 – 1 Draw 10% @ 6.25
2 – 1 Lexington win 10% @ 6.50 Our pick
2 – 0 Lexington win 9% @ 7.00
0 – 0 Draw 6% @ 10.00

Final score: 1 – 4 – not in our list. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Lexington64%
Draw20%
New Mexico United16%

Odds (1X2)

11.67
X3.65
24.40

Lexington vs New Mexico United preview and result

Lexington and New Mexico United met in the USL Championship on Thursday 16 July 2026 at 00:00 (Nigerian time). The match finished 1 - 4, 0 - 2 at half time.

Our model gives Lexington a 64% chance of winning, the draw 20% and New Mexico United 16%. Our pick was Lexington to win with 70% confidence at odds of 1.67. The pick lost this time ✗. For a safer option, the double chance 1X (Lexington or Draw) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.13.

Goals: we expect about 2.5 goals (1.9 for Lexington, 0.7 for New Mexico United). The chance of three or more goals is 47%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (75% confidence). 5 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Lexington have 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (W-D-W-D-D), scoring 12 and conceding 8.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Lexington vs New Mexico United?

Our pre-match prediction is Lexington to win (70% confidence) at odds of 1.67. Win chances: Lexington 64%, draw 20%, New Mexico United 16%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Lexington vs New Mexico United?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 47%).

What time is Lexington vs New Mexico United?

Lexington vs New Mexico United (USL Championship) was played on Thursday 16 July 2026 at 00:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Lexington vs New Mexico United?

The double chance 1X (Lexington or Draw) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.13. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.