Libertad Asuncion vs Independiente del Valle Prediction

CONMEBOL Libertadores · Tue 28 Apr 2026
South America : CONMEBOL Libertadores
2 - 3
Full time · HT 1 - 1
Kick-offTue 28 Apr, 23:00
Our tip2 @ 2.66 ✓
GoalsUnder 2.5
Confidence65%

Full-time report

Our tip2 ✓
Double chance12 ✓
BTTSNo ✗
Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 ✗

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
Libertad Asuncion

No matches found.

Independiente del ValleDWWWW
08 Nov 26AAucas4 - 2Liga Pro
06 Nov 26HDelfin SC2 - 0Copa Ecuador
01 Nov 26HLDU de Quito2 - 0Liga Pro
29 Oct 26ADelfin SC3 - 0Copa Ecuador
23 Oct 26HUniversidad Catolica0 - 0Liga Pro

Head to head

Libertad Asuncion 0 · Draws 0 · Independiente del Valle 2 (2 meetings)

20 May 26Independiente del Valle4 - 1Libertad AsuncionCONMEBOL Libertadores
28 Apr 26Libertad Asuncion2 - 3Independiente del ValleCONMEBOL Libertadores

Full head to head: Libertad Asuncion vs Independiente del Valle →

Our prediction

Independiente del Valle to win

@ 2.66
Double chance
12  •  Libertad Asuncion or Independiente del Valle
@ 1.30
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
@ 1.83
Confidence
65%

Our record

Our tips on Independiente del Vallelast 20 tipped matches
14/2070%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 39%Under 2.5: 61%
Expected goals
0.56Libertad Asuncion
2.25Total
1.69Independiente del Valle

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 12% @ 5.25
0 – 1 Independiente del Valle win 10% @ 6.25 Our pick
1 – 0 Libertad Asuncion win 10% @ 6.50
0 – 0 Draw 9% @ 7.00
2 – 1 Libertad Asuncion win 8% @ 8.00

Final score: 2 – 3 – not in our list. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Libertad Asuncion26%
Draw19%
Independiente del Valle55%

Odds (1X2)

12.72
X3.05
22.66

Libertad Asuncion vs Independiente del Valle preview and result

Libertad Asuncion and Independiente del Valle met in the CONMEBOL Libertadores on Tuesday 28 April 2026 at 23:00 (Nigerian time). The match finished 2 - 3, 1 - 1 at half time.

Our model gives Libertad Asuncion a 26% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Independiente del Valle 55%. Our pick was Independiente del Valle to win with 65% confidence at odds of 2.66. The pick came in ✓. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Libertad Asuncion or Independiente del Valle) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.30.

Goals: we expect about 2.3 goals (0.6 for Libertad Asuncion, 1.7 for Independiente del Valle). The chance of three or more goals is 39%, so our goals pick is Under 2.5 (75% confidence). 5 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Independiente del Valle have 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (D-W-W-W-W), scoring 11 and conceding 2. In their last 2 meetings, Libertad Asuncion won 0, Independiente del Valle won 2 and 0 ended level. In the table, Libertad Asuncion are 4th with 0 points and Independiente del Valle are 1st with 13 points.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Libertad Asuncion vs Independiente del Valle?

Our pre-match prediction is Independiente del Valle to win (65% confidence) at odds of 2.66. Win chances: Libertad Asuncion 26%, draw 19%, Independiente del Valle 55%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Libertad Asuncion vs Independiente del Valle?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Our pick is Under 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 39%).

What time is Libertad Asuncion vs Independiente del Valle?

Libertad Asuncion vs Independiente del Valle (CONMEBOL Libertadores) was played on Tuesday 28 April 2026 at 23:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Libertad Asuncion vs Independiente del Valle?

The double chance 12 (Libertad Asuncion or Independiente del Valle) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.30. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.