Lithuania vs Azerbaijan Prediction

UEFA Nations League · Sun 27 Sep 2026
Europe : UEFA Nations League
LithuaniaWDWL
1 - 1
Full time · HT 1 - 1
AzerbaijanWWDDW
Kick-offSun 27 Sep, 14:00
Our tip1 @ 2.38 ✗
GoalsUnder 2.5
Confidence55%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✗
Double chance12 ✗
BTTSNo ✗
Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 ✓

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
LithuaniaWDWL
04 Oct 26AAzerbaijan0 - 1UEFA Nations League
30 Sep 26HAndorra3 - 0Friendlies
27 Sep 26HAzerbaijan1 - 1UEFA Nations League
24 Sep 26ALiechtenstein2 - 0UEFA Nations League
AzerbaijanWWDDW
04 Oct 26HLithuania1 - 0UEFA Nations League
01 Oct 26HLiechtenstein0 - 0UEFA Nations League
27 Sep 26ALithuania1 - 1UEFA Nations League
23 Sep 26HTajikistan1 - 0Friendlies
09 Jun 26HSan Marino2 - 1Friendlies

Head to head

Full head to head: Lithuania vs Azerbaijan →

Our prediction

Lithuania to win

@ 2.38
Double chance
12  •  Lithuania or Azerbaijan
@ 1.36
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
@ 1.75
Confidence
55%

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Confidence
80%
Over 2.5: 32%Under 2.5: 68%
Expected goals
2.00Lithuania
2.00Total
0.00Azerbaijan

Win probability

Lithuania42%
Draw19%
Azerbaijan39%

Odds (1X2)

12.38
X2.80
23.10

Lithuania vs Azerbaijan preview and result

Lithuania and Azerbaijan met in the UEFA Nations League on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 14:00 (Nigerian time). The match finished 1 - 1, 1 - 1 at half time.

Our model gives Lithuania a 42% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Azerbaijan 39%. Our pick was Lithuania to win with 55% confidence at odds of 2.38. The pick lost this time ✗. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Lithuania or Azerbaijan) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.36.

Goals: we expect about 2.0 goals (2.0 for Lithuania, 0.0 for Azerbaijan). The chance of three or more goals is 32%, so our goals pick is Under 2.5 (80% confidence). 2 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Lithuania have 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 4 matches (W-D-W-L), scoring 6 and conceding 2. Azerbaijan have 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (W-W-D-D-W), scoring 5 and conceding 2.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Lithuania vs Azerbaijan?

Our pre-match prediction is Lithuania to win (55% confidence) at odds of 2.38. Win chances: Lithuania 42%, draw 19%, Azerbaijan 39%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Lithuania vs Azerbaijan?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Our pick is Under 2.5 with 80% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 32%).

What time is Lithuania vs Azerbaijan?

Lithuania vs Azerbaijan (UEFA Nations League) was played on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 14:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Lithuania vs Azerbaijan?

The double chance 12 (Lithuania or Azerbaijan) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.36. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.