Manchester City vs Aston Villa Prediction

Premier League · Sun 24 May 2026
England flag England : Premier League
Manchester CityWLDLW
1 - 2
Full time · HT 1 - 0
Aston VillaWWLDL
Kick-offSun 24 May, 16:00
Our tip1 @ 1.26 ✗
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence75%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✗
Backup1X ✗
GoalsOver 2.5 ✓
Both scoredYes

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
Manchester CityWLDLW
04 Nov 26ARB Leipzig3 - 2UEFA Champions League
31 Oct 26HBrighton0 - 1Premier League
28 Oct 26HBrighton2 - 2League Cup
24 Oct 26AAston Villa1 - 2Premier League
20 Oct 26HAEK Athens FC5 - 1UEFA Champions League
Aston VillaWWLDL
03 Nov 26ABarcelona0 - 3UEFA Champions League
31 Oct 26HFulham1 - 1Premier League
28 Oct 26ABournemouth0 - 3League Cup
21 Oct 26HViking3 - 1UEFA Champions League
02 Oct 26ASevilla3 - 1Friendlies Clubs

Head to head

Full head to head: Manchester City vs Aston Villa →

Our prediction

Manchester City to win

@ 1.26
Backup prediction
1X  •  Manchester City or Draw
@ 1.05
Confidence
75%

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
80%
Over 2.5: 54%Under 2.5: 46%
Expected goals
1.43Manchester City
2.85Total
1.42Aston Villa

Win probability

Manchester City66%
Draw15%
Aston Villa19%

Odds (1X2)

11.26
X6.25
28.40

Manchester City vs Aston Villa preview and result

Manchester City and Aston Villa met in the Premier League on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 16:00 (Nigerian time). The match finished 1 - 2, 1 - 0 at half time.

Our model gives Manchester City a 66% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Aston Villa 19%. Our pick was Manchester City to win with 75% confidence at odds of 1.26. The pick lost this time ✗. For a safer option, the double chance 1X (Manchester City or Draw) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.05.

Goals: we expect about 2.9 goals (1.4 for Manchester City, 1.4 for Aston Villa). The chance of three or more goals is 54%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (80% confidence). 3 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Manchester City have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (W-L-D-L-W), scoring 11 and conceding 8. Aston Villa have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (W-W-L-D-L), scoring 7 and conceding 9. In the table, Manchester City are 1st with 21 points and Aston Villa are 9th with 11 points.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Manchester City vs Aston Villa?

Our pre-match prediction is Manchester City to win (75% confidence) at odds of 1.26. Win chances: Manchester City 66%, draw 15%, Aston Villa 19%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Manchester City vs Aston Villa?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 80% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 54%).

What time is Manchester City vs Aston Villa?

Manchester City vs Aston Villa (Premier League) was played on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 16:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Manchester City vs Aston Villa?

The double chance 1X (Manchester City or Draw) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.05. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Premier League table

Manchester City1st21 pts
Aston Villa9th11 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Manchester City 8701 1121
2 Arsenal 8701 821
3 Brighton 8512 1616
4 Liverpool 8431 315
5 Chelsea 8413 213
6 Brentford 8251 511
7 Leeds 8251 311
8 Newcastle 8323 -211
9 Aston Villa 8323 -311
10 Hull City 8242 110
11 Everton 8242 -110
12 Ipswich 8314 -410
13 Bournemouth 8233 -19
14 Tottenham 8233 -29
15 Fulham 8224 -28
16 Manchester United 8143 -37
17 Crystal Palace 8215 -107
18 Nottingham Forest 8134 -46
19 Coventry 8206 -96
20 Sunderland 8125 -85