Kenya : FKF Premier League
Recent form
Mara SugarWDDLW
Mathare UnitedLDLWLHead to head
Mara Sugar 3 · Draws 0 · Mathare United 3 (6 meetings)
Our prediction
Mara Sugar to win
Our record
Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.
Who will win?
Voting closed at kick-off.
Goals outlook
Possible correct scores
Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.
Win probability
Mara Sugar vs Mathare United preview
Mara Sugar host Mathare United in the FKF Premier League (Kenya) on Saturday 16 May 2026 at 13:00 Nigerian time. Here is our prediction, the odds, both teams' recent form and their head-to-head record.
Our model gives Mara Sugar a 56% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Mathare United 33%. That makes our pick Mara Sugar to win with 65% confidence. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Mara Sugar or Mathare United) covers two of the three results.
Goals: we expect about 1.9 goals (0.9 for Mara Sugar, 1.0 for Mathare United). The chance of three or more goals is 29%, so our goals pick is Under 2.5 (85% confidence).
Form and head to head
Mara Sugar have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (W-D-D-L-W), scoring 5 and conceding 5. Mathare United have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-D-L-W-L), scoring 4 and conceding 6. In their last 6 meetings, Mara Sugar won 3, Mathare United won 3 and 0 ended level. In the table, Mara Sugar are 6th with 9 points and Mathare United are 16th with 5 points.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Mara Sugar vs Mathare United?
Our prediction is Mara Sugar to win (65% confidence). Win chances: Mara Sugar 56%, draw 11%, Mathare United 33%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Mara Sugar vs Mathare United?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Our pick is Under 2.5 with 85% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 29%).
What time is Mara Sugar vs Mathare United?
Mara Sugar vs Mathare United (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 16 May 2026 at 13:00 Nigerian time (WAT).
What is a safe bet for Mara Sugar vs Mathare United?
The double chance 12 (Mara Sugar or Mathare United) covers two outcomes. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.
Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.
FKF Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  GOR Mahia |
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 13 |
| 2 |  KCB |
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 13 |
| 3 |  AFC Leopards |
6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 |  Kenya Police |
6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 |
| 5 |  Shabana |
6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 |
| 6 |  Mara Sugar |
6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 |
| 7 |  3K |
6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | -1 | 9 |
| 8 |  Murang'a SEAL |
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 |
| 9 |  Bandari |
6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 |  Posta Rangers FC |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 7 |
| 11 |  Tusker |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 |
| 12 |  Migori Youth |
5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
| 13 |  APS Bomet |
6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 |
| 14 |  Ulinzi Stars |
6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 |  Nairobi United |
6 | 0 | 5 | 1 | -1 | 5 |
| 16 |  Mathare United |
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 5 |
| 17 |  Homeboyz |
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 5 |
| 18 |  Mombasa Elite |
6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 1 |
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