Mara Sugar vs Sofapaka Prediction

FKF Premier League · Mon 2 Mar 2026
Kenya flag Kenya : FKF Premier League
Mara SugarWDDLW
3 - 1
Full time · HT 2 - 1
Sofapaka
Kick-offMon 2 Mar, 12:00
Our tip1 ✓
GoalsUnder 2.5
Confidence60%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✓
Double chance12 ✓
BTTSNo ✗
Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 ✗

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
Mara SugarWDDLW
07 Nov 26HMigori Youth2 - 1FKF Premier League
02 Nov 26ATusker1 - 3FKF Premier League
28 Oct 26HAFC Leopards0 - 0FKF Premier League
24 Oct 26AUlinzi Stars0 - 0FKF Premier League
19 Oct 26HMombasa Elite2 - 1FKF Premier League
Sofapaka

No matches found.

Head to head

Mara Sugar 1 · Draws 3 · Sofapaka 0 (4 meetings)

02 Mar 26Mara Sugar3 - 1SofapakaFKF Premier League
28 Oct 25Sofapaka2 - 2Mara SugarFKF Premier League
01 Mar 25Sofapaka1 - 1Mara SugarFKF Premier League
24 Nov 24Mara Sugar1 - 1SofapakaFKF Premier League

Full head to head: Mara Sugar vs Sofapaka →

Our prediction

Mara Sugar to win

Double chance
12  •  Mara Sugar or Sofapaka
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
Confidence
60%

Our record

Our tips on Mara Sugarlast 18 tipped matches
11/1861%
Our tips in FKF Premier Leaguelast 30 days
11/3135%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Confidence
80%
Over 2.5: 32%Under 2.5: 68%
Expected goals
1.56Mara Sugar
2.00Total
0.44Sofapaka

Possible correct scores

1 – 0 Mara Sugar win 21% Our pick
2 – 0 Mara Sugar win 16%
0 – 0 Draw 14%
1 – 1 Draw 9%
3 – 0 Mara Sugar win 9%

Final score: 3 – 1 – not in our list. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Mara Sugar53%
Draw11%
Sofapaka36%

Mara Sugar vs Sofapaka preview and result

Mara Sugar and Sofapaka met in the FKF Premier League on Monday 2 March 2026 at 12:00 (Nigerian time). The match finished 3 - 1, 2 - 1 at half time.

Our model gives Mara Sugar a 53% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Sofapaka 36%. Our pick was Mara Sugar to win with 60% confidence. The pick came in ✓. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Mara Sugar or Sofapaka) covers two of the three results.

Goals: we expect about 2.0 goals (1.6 for Mara Sugar, 0.4 for Sofapaka). The chance of three or more goals is 32%, so our goals pick is Under 2.5 (80% confidence). 4 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Mara Sugar have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (W-D-D-L-W), scoring 5 and conceding 5. In their last 4 meetings, Mara Sugar won 1, Sofapaka won 0 and 3 ended level.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Mara Sugar vs Sofapaka?

Our pre-match prediction is Mara Sugar to win (60% confidence). Win chances: Mara Sugar 53%, draw 11%, Sofapaka 36%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Mara Sugar vs Sofapaka?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Our pick is Under 2.5 with 80% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 32%).

What time is Mara Sugar vs Sofapaka?

Mara Sugar vs Sofapaka (FKF Premier League) was played on Monday 2 March 2026 at 12:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Mara Sugar vs Sofapaka?

The double chance 12 (Mara Sugar or Sofapaka) covers two outcomes. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

FKF Premier League table

Mara Sugar6th9 pts
Sofapaka–
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 GOR Mahia 6411 413
2 KCB 6411 413
3 AFC Leopards 6240 310
4 Kenya Police 6231 19
5 Shabana 6231 19
6 Mara Sugar 6231 09
7 3K 6231 -19
8 Murang'a SEAL 6222 28
9 Bandari 6141 07
10 Posta Rangers FC 6213 -47
11 Tusker 4202 26
12 Migori Youth 5131 16
13 APS Bomet 6132 16
14 Ulinzi Stars 6132 -26
15 Nairobi United 6051 -15
16 Mathare United 6123 -25
17 Homeboyz 5122 -25
18 Mombasa Elite 6015 -71