Mariehamn vs Ilves Prediction

Veikkausliiga · Sat 10 Oct 2026
Finland flag Finland : Veikkausliiga
MariehamnLWLDD
1 - 1
Full time · HT 0 - 0
Ilves
Kick-offSat 10 Oct, 17:00
Our tip2 @ 2.20 ✗
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence55%

Full-time report

Our tip2 ✗
Double chance12 ✗
BTTSYes ✓
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✗

Goals & cards

Samson Ngulube35'
43'Sauli Väisänen
45+3'Bamba Abdoul Goudouss
66'Matias Rale
69'⚽T. Hytonen
Arvid Bergvik74'
T. JakobsenAssist: L. Richtner⚽84'

Match stats

MariehamnIlves
56%Possession44%
1.50Expected goals (xG)2.05
16Shots16
2Shots on target4
5Corners3
8Fouls10
2Offsides1
2Yellow cards3
3Saves1
83%Pass accuracy80%
Line-ups
Mariehamn4-2-3-1
  1. 1K. LundG
  2. 27L. RichtnerD
  3. 2N. NurmiD
  4. 5T. KoivistoD
  5. 31S. NgulubeD
  6. 20E. PatutM
  7. 23V. WidlundM
  8. 16A. HuttunenM
  9. 14A. BergvikM
  10. 18A. StroudM
  11. 7A. LarssonF

Coach: Roberth Bjorknesjo

Ilves4-4-2
  1. 12F. KrkalicG
  2. 13K. WalliusD
  3. 24V. KumpuD
  4. 5S. VaisanenD
  5. 3M. RaleD
  6. 22O. MultalaM
  7. 19G. BambaM
  8. 14A. PopovitchM
  9. 28J. KiloM
  10. 45E. TamminenF
  11. 9T. HytonenF

Coach: Camilo Speranza

Referee: Matti Roth, Finland · Venue: Wiklöf Holding Arena, Mariehamn

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
MariehamnLWLDD
17 Oct 26AFF Jaro1 - 1Veikkausliiga
10 Oct 26HIlves1 - 1Veikkausliiga
18 Sep 26ASJK1 - 2Veikkausliiga
12 Sep 26HTurku PS1 - 0Veikkausliiga
08 Sep 26ALahti1 - 2Veikkausliiga
Ilves

No matches found.

Head to head

Mariehamn 11 · Draws 8 · Ilves 16 (35 meetings, last 10 below)

10 Oct 26Mariehamn1 - 1IlvesVeikkausliiga
09 Aug 26Ilves2 - 0MariehamnVeikkausliiga
18 Apr 26Mariehamn2 - 2IlvesVeikkausliiga
31 Aug 25Ilves2 - 1MariehamnVeikkausliiga
27 Apr 25Mariehamn3 - 2IlvesVeikkausliiga
11 Aug 24Ilves2 - 0MariehamnVeikkausliiga
28 Apr 24Mariehamn0 - 1IlvesVeikkausliiga
27 Sep 23Ilves2 - 1MariehamnVeikkausliiga
15 Jul 23Ilves0 - 0MariehamnVeikkausliiga
05 Apr 23Mariehamn1 - 1IlvesVeikkausliiga

Full head to head: Mariehamn vs Ilves →

Our prediction

Ilves to win

@ 2.20
Double chance
12  •  Mariehamn or Ilves
@ 1.29
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.50
Confidence
55%

Our record

Our tips in Veikkausliigalast 30 days
13/2552%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
80%
Over 2.5: 56%Under 2.5: 44%
Expected goals
1.47Mariehamn
2.94Total
1.47Ilves

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 9% @ 7.00 ✓ Final score
1 – 2 Ilves win 7% @ 9.00 Our pick
2 – 1 Mariehamn win 7% @ 10.00
2 – 2 Draw 7% @ 10.00
0 – 1 Ilves win 6% @ 11.00

Final score: 1 – 1 – in our list ✓. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Mariehamn36%
Draw17%
Ilves47%

Odds (1X2)

12.80
X3.50
22.20

Mariehamn vs Ilves preview and result

Mariehamn and Ilves met in the Veikkausliiga on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 17:00 (Nigerian time). The match finished 1 - 1, 0 - 0 at half time.

Our model gives Mariehamn a 36% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Ilves 47%. Our pick was Ilves to win with 55% confidence at odds of 2.20. The pick lost this time ✗. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Mariehamn or Ilves) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.29.

Goals: we expect about 2.9 goals (1.5 for Mariehamn, 1.5 for Ilves). The chance of three or more goals is 56%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (80% confidence). 2 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Mariehamn have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-W-L-D-D), scoring 5 and conceding 6. In their last 10 meetings, Mariehamn won 11, Ilves won 16 and 8 ended level.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Mariehamn vs Ilves?

Our pre-match prediction is Ilves to win (55% confidence) at odds of 2.20. Win chances: Mariehamn 36%, draw 17%, Ilves 47%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Mariehamn vs Ilves?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 80% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 56%).

What time is Mariehamn vs Ilves?

Mariehamn vs Ilves (Veikkausliiga) was played on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 17:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Mariehamn vs Ilves?

The double chance 12 (Mariehamn or Ilves) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.29. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.