Marseille vs Paris FC Prediction

Ligue 1 · Sun 6 Sep 2026
France flag France : Ligue 1
MarseilleLWWWW
2 - 3
Full time · HT 1 - 2
Paris FCLWLWW
Kick-offSun 6 Sep, 19:45
Our tip1 @ 1.75 ✗
GoalsUnder 2.5
Confidence75%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✗
Double chance1X ✗
BTTSNo ✗
Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 ✗

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
MarseilleLWWWW
08 Nov 26ALens2 - 1Ligue 1
05 Nov 26ABayer Leverkusen1 - 0UEFA Europa League
01 Nov 26HToulouse2 - 0Ligue 1
25 Oct 26HLe Havre4 - 3Ligue 1
22 Oct 26ASturm Graz0 - 1UEFA Europa League
Paris FCLWLWW
07 Nov 26AAuxerre1 - 0Ligue 1
01 Nov 26HMonaco3 - 1Ligue 1
24 Oct 26ALens1 - 2Ligue 1
18 Oct 26HRennes4 - 3Ligue 1
10 Oct 26ALorient0 - 1Ligue 1

Head to head

Marseille 1 · Draws 1 · Paris FC 1 (3 meetings)

06 Sep 26Marseille2 - 3Paris FCLigue 1
31 Jan 26Paris FC2 - 2MarseilleLigue 1
23 Aug 25Marseille5 - 2Paris FCLigue 1

Full head to head: Marseille vs Paris FC →

Our prediction

Marseille to win

@ 1.75
Double chance
1X  •  Marseille or Draw
@ 1.20
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
@ 2.30
Confidence
75%

Our record

Our tips on Marseillelast 20 tipped matches
14/2070%
Our tips on Paris FClast 20 tipped matches
9/2045%
Our tips in Ligue 1last 30 days
24/3667%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 39%Under 2.5: 61%
Expected goals
1.28Marseille
2.25Total
0.97Paris FC

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 9% @ 7.00
2 – 1 Marseille win 9% @ 7.50
1 – 0 Marseille win 8% @ 8.50 Our pick
2 – 0 Marseille win 7% @ 9.50
3 – 1 Marseille win 5% @ 12.00

Final score: 2 – 3 – not in our list. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Marseille67%
Draw22%
Paris FC11%

Odds (1X2)

11.75
X3.75
24.20

Marseille vs Paris FC preview and result

Marseille and Paris FC met in the Ligue 1 on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 19:45 (Nigerian time). The match finished 2 - 3, 1 - 2 at half time.

Our model gives Marseille a 67% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Paris FC 11%. Our pick was Marseille to win with 75% confidence at odds of 1.75. The pick lost this time ✗. For a safer option, the double chance 1X (Marseille or Draw) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.20.

Goals: we expect about 2.3 goals (1.3 for Marseille, 1.0 for Paris FC). The chance of three or more goals is 39%, so our goals pick is Under 2.5 (75% confidence). 5 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Marseille have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (L-W-W-W-W), scoring 9 and conceding 5. Paris FC have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-W-L-W-W), scoring 9 and conceding 7. In their last 3 meetings, Marseille won 1, Paris FC won 1 and 1 ended level. In the table, Marseille are 4th with 18 points and Paris FC are 3rd with 20 points.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Marseille vs Paris FC?

Our pre-match prediction is Marseille to win (75% confidence) at odds of 1.75. Win chances: Marseille 67%, draw 22%, Paris FC 11%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Marseille vs Paris FC?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Our pick is Under 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 39%).

What time is Marseille vs Paris FC?

Marseille vs Paris FC (Ligue 1) was played on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 19:45 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Marseille vs Paris FC?

The double chance 1X (Marseille or Draw) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.20. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Ligue 1 table

Marseille4th18 pts
Paris FC3rd20 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Paris Saint Germain 10721 1223
2 Lille 10631 721
3 Paris FC 10622 720
4 Marseille 10604 818
5 Lyon 10523 617
6 Nice 10523 317
7 Monaco 10442 216
8 Rennes 10514 016
9 Stade Brestois 29 10433 615
10 Lorient 10433 115
11 Lens 10415 213
12 Toulouse 10343 113
13 Strasbourg 10316 -410
14 Auxerre 10316 -1110
15 Le Mans 10154 -78
16 Angers 10226 -108
17 Estac Troyes 10226 -108
18 Le Havre 10028 -132