Marseille vs Rennes Prediction

Ligue 1 · Sun 17 May 2026
France flag France : Ligue 1
MarseilleWLWWW
3 - 1
Full time · HT 2 - 0
RennesWLDWL
Kick-offSun 17 May, 20:00
Our tip1 @ 2.00 ✓
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence55%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✓
Double chance12 ✓
BTTSYes ✓
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✓

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
MarseilleWLWWW
05 Nov 26ABayer Leverkusen1 - 0UEFA Europa League
01 Nov 26HToulouse2 - 0Ligue 1
25 Oct 26HLe Havre4 - 3Ligue 1
22 Oct 26ASturm Graz0 - 1UEFA Europa League
18 Oct 26AAngers5 - 2Ligue 1
RennesWLDWL
31 Oct 26ANice2 - 5Ligue 1
25 Oct 26HStrasbourg3 - 0Ligue 1
22 Oct 26AJuventus2 - 2UEFA Europa League
18 Oct 26AParis FC3 - 4Ligue 1
15 Oct 26HOFI2 - 1UEFA Europa League

Head to head

Full head to head: Marseille vs Rennes →

Our prediction

Marseille to win

@ 2.00
Double chance
12  •  Marseille or Rennes
@ 1.22
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.48
Confidence
55%

Our record

Our tips on Marseillelast 20 tipped matches
14/2070%
Our tips on Renneslast 20 tipped matches
11/2055%
Our tips in Ligue 1last 30 days
24/3667%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
85%
Over 2.5: 61%Under 2.5: 39%
Expected goals
0.98Marseille
3.17Total
2.19Rennes

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 9% @ 6.50
2 – 1 Marseille win 9% @ 7.00 Our pick
1 – 0 Marseille win 7% @ 9.00
1 – 2 Rennes win 6% @ 9.50
2 – 0 Marseille win 6% @ 10.00

Final score: 3 – 1 – not in our list. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Marseille45%
Draw17%
Rennes38%

Odds (1X2)

12.00
X3.70
23.30

Marseille vs Rennes preview and result

Marseille and Rennes met in the Ligue 1 on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 20:00 (Nigerian time). The match finished 3 - 1, 2 - 0 at half time.

Our model gives Marseille a 45% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Rennes 38%. Our pick was Marseille to win with 55% confidence at odds of 2.00. The pick came in ✓. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Marseille or Rennes) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.22.

Goals: we expect about 3.2 goals (1.0 for Marseille, 2.2 for Rennes). The chance of three or more goals is 61%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (85% confidence). 4 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Marseille have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (W-L-W-W-W), scoring 12 and conceding 6. Rennes have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (W-L-D-W-L), scoring 12 and conceding 12. In the table, Marseille are 6th with 15 points and Rennes are 5th with 16 points.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Marseille vs Rennes?

Our pre-match prediction is Marseille to win (55% confidence) at odds of 2.00. Win chances: Marseille 45%, draw 17%, Rennes 38%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Marseille vs Rennes?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 85% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 61%).

What time is Marseille vs Rennes?

Marseille vs Rennes (Ligue 1) was played on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 20:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Marseille vs Rennes?

The double chance 12 (Marseille or Rennes) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.22. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Ligue 1 table

Marseille6th15 pts
Rennes5th16 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Paris Saint Germain 9621 1120
2 Lille 9531 618
3 Lyon 9522 817
4 Paris FC 9522 617
5 Rennes 9513 116
6 Marseille 9504 715
7 Monaco 9432 215
8 Nice 9423 114
9 Lens 9414 313
10 Toulouse 10343 113
11 Stade Brestois 29 9333 412
12 Lorient 9333 -112
13 Strasbourg 10316 -410
14 Auxerre 9315 -1010
15 Angers 9225 -88
16 Estac Troyes 9225 -98
17 Le Mans 9144 -77
18 Le Havre 9027 -112