Marseille vs Toulouse Prediction

Coupe De France · Wed 4 Mar 2026
France flag France : Coupe De France
Marseille
2 - 2
0'
Toulouse
Kick-offWed 4 Mar, 21:00
Our tip1 @ 1.63
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence80%

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away

Head to head

Marseille 19 · Draws 12 · Toulouse 2 (33 meetings, last 10 below)

01 Nov 26Marseille2 - 0ToulouseLigue 1
07 Mar 26Toulouse0 - 1MarseilleLigue 1
04 Mar 26Marseille2 - 2ToulouseCoupe de France
29 Nov 25Marseille2 - 2ToulouseLigue 1
06 Apr 25Marseille3 - 2ToulouseLigue 1
31 Aug 24Toulouse1 - 3MarseilleLigue 1
21 Apr 24Toulouse2 - 2MarseilleLigue 1
17 Sep 23Marseille0 - 0ToulouseLigue 1
19 Feb 23Toulouse2 - 3MarseilleLigue 1
29 Dec 22Marseille6 - 1ToulouseLigue 1

Full head to head: Marseille vs Toulouse →

Our prediction

Marseille to win

@ 1.63
Double chance
1X  •  Marseille or Draw
@ 1.17
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.77
Confidence
80%

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
95%
Over 2.5: 79%Under 2.5: 21%
Expected goals
3.25Marseille
4.17Total
0.92Toulouse

Possible correct scores

1 – 0 Marseille win 10% @ 6.25
2 – 0 Marseille win 10% @ 6.50
2 – 1 Marseille win 10% @ 6.50 Our pick
1 – 1 Draw 10% @ 6.50
3 – 0 Marseille win 6% @ 10.00

Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Marseille74%
Draw15%
Toulouse11%

Odds (1X2)

11.63
X3.90
25.00

Marseille vs Toulouse preview

Marseille v Toulouse in the Coupe De France is under way – the score is 2 - 2 (0').

Our model gives Marseille a 74% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Toulouse 11%. That makes our pick Marseille to win with 80% confidence at odds of 1.63. For a safer option, the double chance 1X (Marseille or Draw) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.17.

Goals: we expect about 4.2 goals (3.3 for Marseille, 0.9 for Toulouse). The chance of three or more goals is 79%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (95% confidence).

Form and head to head

In their last 10 meetings, Marseille won 19, Toulouse won 2 and 12 ended level.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Marseille vs Toulouse?

Our prediction is Marseille to win (80% confidence) at odds of 1.63. Win chances: Marseille 74%, draw 15%, Toulouse 11%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Marseille vs Toulouse?

We expect about 4.2 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 95% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 79%).

What time is Marseille vs Toulouse?

Marseille vs Toulouse (Coupe De France) kicks off on Wednesday 4 March 2026 at 21:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Marseille vs Toulouse?

The double chance 1X (Marseille or Draw) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.17. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.