Maruinense vs Independente Simão Dias Prediction

Sergipano 2 · Wed 11 Nov 2026
Brazil flag Brazil : Sergipano 2
MaruinenseWLW
19:00
Wed 11 Nov, 19:00
Kick-offWed 11 Nov, 19:00
Our tip1
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence75%

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
MaruinenseWLW
04 Nov 26HSocorro Sport3 - 1Sergipano 2
01 Nov 26AEstanciano0 - 1Sergipano 2
29 Oct 26HFrei Paulistano2 - 1Sergipano 2
Independente Simão DiasDLD
04 Nov 26HBarra SE0 - 0Sergipano 2
01 Nov 26ASocorro Sport0 - 5Sergipano 2
29 Oct 26HEstanciano1 - 1Sergipano 2

Head to head

Full head to head: Maruinense vs Independente Simão Dias →

Our prediction

Maruinense to win

Double chance
12  •  Maruinense or Independente Simão Dias
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
Confidence
75%

Our record

Our tips on Maruinenselast 3 tipped matches
0/30%
Our tips on Independente Simão Diaslast 3 tipped matches
2/367%
Our tips in Sergipano 2last 30 days
9/1850%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Tap your pick – see what other fans think.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 46%Under 2.5: 54%
Expected goals
2.08Maruinense
2.50Total
0.42Independente Simão Dias

Possible correct scores

2 – 0 Maruinense win 18%
1 – 0 Maruinense win 17%
3 – 0 Maruinense win 12% Our pick
0 – 0 Draw 8%
2 – 1 Maruinense win 7%

Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Maruinense67%
Draw11%
Independente Simão Dias22%

Maruinense vs Independente Simão Dias preview

Maruinense host Independente Simão Dias in the Sergipano 2 (Brazil) on Wednesday 11 November 2026 at 19:00 Nigerian time. Here is our prediction, the odds, both teams' recent form and their head-to-head record.

Our model gives Maruinense a 67% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Independente Simão Dias 22%. That makes our pick Maruinense to win with 75% confidence. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Maruinense or Independente Simão Dias) covers two of the three results.

Goals: we expect about 2.5 goals (2.1 for Maruinense, 0.4 for Independente Simão Dias). The chance of three or more goals is 46%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (75% confidence).

Form and head to head

Maruinense have 2 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 3 matches (W-L-W), scoring 5 and conceding 3. Independente Simão Dias have 0 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 3 matches (D-L-D), scoring 1 and conceding 6.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Maruinense vs Independente Simão Dias?

Our prediction is Maruinense to win (75% confidence). Win chances: Maruinense 67%, draw 11%, Independente Simão Dias 22%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Maruinense vs Independente Simão Dias?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 46%).

What time is Maruinense vs Independente Simão Dias?

Maruinense vs Independente Simão Dias (Sergipano 2) kicks off on Wednesday 11 November 2026 at 19:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Maruinense vs Independente Simão Dias?

The double chance 12 (Maruinense or Independente Simão Dias) covers two outcomes. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.