Mārupe vs Smiltene Prediction

1. Liga · Sat 4 Jul 2026

Latvia : 1. Liga

MārupeWDLDL

2 - 1

Full time · HT 0 - 1

Smiltene

Kick-offSat 4 Jul, 14:00

Our tip1 @ 1.33 ✓

GoalsOver 2.5

Confidence80%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✓

BTTSNo ✗

Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✓

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away

MārupeWDLDL

07 Nov 26AMetta LU0 - 41. Liga

31 Oct 26ASmiltene1 - 11. Liga

24 Oct 26HRiga Mariners1 - 61. Liga

18 Oct 26AJFK Ventspils0 - 01. Liga

10 Oct 26ARīgas FS II3 - 21. Liga

Smiltene

No matches found.

Head to head

Full head to head: Mārupe vs Smiltene →

Our prediction

Mārupe to win

@ 1.33

Both teams to score

No – at least one team fails to score

Confidence

80%

Our record

Our tips on Mārupelast 20 tipped matches

11/2055%

Our tips in 1. Ligalast 30 days

18/2864%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Confidence

85%

Over 2.5: 67%Under 2.5: 33%

Expected goals

2.52Mārupe

3.45Total

0.93Smiltene

Possible correct scores

2 – 0 Mārupe win 9% @ 8.50

3 – 0 Mārupe win 8% @ 9.50 Our pick

2 – 1 Mārupe win 7% @ 10.00 ✓ Final score

1 – 0 Mārupe win 7% @ 11.00

1 – 1 Draw 7% @ 11.00

Final score: 2 – 1 – in our list ✓. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Mārupe72%

Draw18%

Smiltene10%

Odds (1X2)

11.33

X5.00

26.50

Mārupe vs Smiltene preview and result

Mārupe and Smiltene met in the 1. Liga on Saturday 4 July 2026 at 14:00 (Nigerian time). The match finished 2 - 1, 0 - 1 at half time.

Our model gives Mārupe a 72% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Smiltene 10%. Our pick was Mārupe to win with 80% confidence at odds of 1.33. The pick came in ✓.

Goals: we expect about 3.5 goals (2.5 for Mārupe, 0.9 for Smiltene). The chance of three or more goals is 67%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (85% confidence). 3 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Mārupe have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (W-D-L-D-L), scoring 5 and conceding 13.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Mārupe vs Smiltene?

Our pre-match prediction is Mārupe to win (80% confidence) at odds of 1.33. Win chances: Mārupe 72%, draw 18%, Smiltene 10%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Mārupe vs Smiltene?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 85% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 67%).

What time is Mārupe vs Smiltene?

Mārupe vs Smiltene (1. Liga) was played on Saturday 4 July 2026 at 14:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

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