Mathare United vs Nairobi United Prediction

FKF Premier League · Sat 25 Apr 2026
Kenya flag Kenya : FKF Premier League
Mathare UnitedLDLWL
0 - 2
65' · HT 0 - 2
Nairobi UnitedDDDLD
Kick-offSat 25 Apr, 12:00
Our tip1
GoalsUnder 2.5
Confidence55%

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
Mathare UnitedLDLWL
07 Nov 26HPosta Rangers FC1 - 2FKF Premier League
29 Oct 26HTusker2 - 1FKF Premier League
17 Oct 26AKCB0 - 1FKF Premier League
10 Oct 26HAPS Bomet0 - 0FKF Premier League
02 Oct 26AUlinzi Stars1 - 2FKF Premier League
Nairobi UnitedDDDLD
08 Nov 26AGOR Mahia1 - 1FKF Premier League
28 Oct 26AMurang'a SEAL2 - 3FKF Premier League
25 Oct 26HAPS Bomet1 - 1FKF Premier League
18 Oct 26AShabana0 - 0FKF Premier League
11 Oct 26HKCB2 - 2FKF Premier League

Head to head

Full head to head: Mathare United vs Nairobi United →

Our prediction

Mathare United to win

Double chance
12  •  Mathare United or Nairobi United
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
Confidence
55%

Our record

Our tips on Mathare Unitedlast 19 tipped matches
8/1942%
Our tips on Nairobi Unitedlast 20 tipped matches
6/2030%
Our tips in FKF Premier Leaguelast 30 days
12/3238%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Confidence
80%
Over 2.5: 36%Under 2.5: 64%
Expected goals
0.94Mathare United
2.13Total
1.19Nairobi United

Possible correct scores

0 – 1 Nairobi United win 14%
1 – 1 Draw 13%
0 – 0 Draw 12%
1 – 0 Mathare United win 11% Our pick
0 – 2 Nairobi United win 8%

Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Mathare United46%
Draw11%
Nairobi United43%

Mathare United vs Nairobi United preview

Mathare United v Nairobi United in the FKF Premier League is under way – the score is 0 - 2 (65').

Our model gives Mathare United a 46% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Nairobi United 43%. That makes our pick Mathare United to win with 55% confidence. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Mathare United or Nairobi United) covers two of the three results.

Goals: we expect about 2.1 goals (0.9 for Mathare United, 1.2 for Nairobi United). The chance of three or more goals is 36%, so our goals pick is Under 2.5 (80% confidence).

Form and head to head

Mathare United have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-D-L-W-L), scoring 4 and conceding 6. Nairobi United have 0 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (D-D-D-L-D), scoring 6 and conceding 7. In the table, Mathare United are 16th with 5 points and Nairobi United are 15th with 5 points.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Mathare United vs Nairobi United?

Our prediction is Mathare United to win (55% confidence). Win chances: Mathare United 46%, draw 11%, Nairobi United 43%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Mathare United vs Nairobi United?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Our pick is Under 2.5 with 80% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 36%).

What time is Mathare United vs Nairobi United?

Mathare United vs Nairobi United (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 25 April 2026 at 12:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Mathare United vs Nairobi United?

The double chance 12 (Mathare United or Nairobi United) covers two outcomes. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

FKF Premier League table

Mathare United16th5 pts
Nairobi United15th5 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 GOR Mahia 6411 413
2 KCB 6411 413
3 AFC Leopards 6240 310
4 Kenya Police 6231 19
5 Shabana 6231 19
6 Mara Sugar 6231 09
7 3K 6231 -19
8 Murang'a SEAL 6222 28
9 Bandari 6141 07
10 Posta Rangers FC 6213 -47
11 Tusker 4202 26
12 Migori Youth 5131 16
13 APS Bomet 6132 16
14 Ulinzi Stars 6132 -26
15 Nairobi United 6051 -15
16 Mathare United 6123 -25
17 Homeboyz 5122 -25
18 Mombasa Elite 6015 -71