Mekelakeya vs Negelle Arsi Prediction

Premier League · Thu 14 May 2026
Ethiopia flag Ethiopia : Premier League
MekelakeyaWLWWD
4 - 0
Full time · HT 2 - 0
Negelle ArsiDDWWW
Kick-offThu 14 May, 16:00
Our tip1 @ 2.40 ✓
GoalsUnder 2.5
Confidence55%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✓
Double chance12 ✓
BTTSNo ✓
Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 ✗

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
MekelakeyaWLWWD
01 Nov 26ASidama Bunna0 - 0Premier League
27 Oct 26AEthiopian Medhin3 - 1Premier League
22 Oct 26AGamo Chencha1 - 0Premier League
18 Oct 26HEthiopia Nigd Bank0 - 1Premier League
11 Oct 26AAwassa Kenema1 - 0Premier League
Negelle ArsiDDWWW
30 Oct 26ASheger Ketema2 - 1Premier League
26 Oct 26HAdama Kenema1 - 0Premier League
21 Oct 26AEthiopia Bunna3 - 0Premier League
16 Oct 26AMebrat Hayl0 - 0Premier League
10 Oct 26AKedus Giorgis1 - 1Premier League

Head to head

Full head to head: Mekelakeya vs Negelle Arsi →

Our prediction

Mekelakeya to win

@ 2.40
Double chance
12  •  Mekelakeya or Negelle Arsi
@ 1.40
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
@ 1.57
Confidence
55%

Our record

Our tips on Mekelakeyalast 20 tipped matches
5/2025%
Our tips on Negelle Arsilast 20 tipped matches
7/2035%
Our tips in Premier Leaguelast 30 days
10/3033%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Confidence
85%
Over 2.5: 27%Under 2.5: 73%
Expected goals
0.65Mekelakeya
1.80Total
1.15Negelle Arsi

Possible correct scores

0 – 0 Draw 13% @ 5.00
1 – 0 Mekelakeya win 12% @ 5.50 Our pick
1 – 1 Draw 12% @ 5.50
0 – 1 Negelle Arsi win 11% @ 6.00
2 – 1 Mekelakeya win 7% @ 9.50

Final score: 4 – 0 – not in our list. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Mekelakeya40%
Draw20%
Negelle Arsi40%

Odds (1X2)

12.40
X2.62
22.90

Mekelakeya vs Negelle Arsi preview and result

Mekelakeya and Negelle Arsi met in the Premier League on Thursday 14 May 2026 at 16:00 (Nigerian time). The match finished 4 - 0, 2 - 0 at half time.

Our model gives Mekelakeya a 40% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Negelle Arsi 40%. Our pick was Mekelakeya to win with 55% confidence at odds of 2.40. The pick came in ✓. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Mekelakeya or Negelle Arsi) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.40.

Goals: we expect about 1.8 goals (0.7 for Mekelakeya, 1.2 for Negelle Arsi). The chance of three or more goals is 27%, so our goals pick is Under 2.5 (85% confidence). 4 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Mekelakeya have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (W-L-W-W-D), scoring 5 and conceding 2. Negelle Arsi have 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (D-D-W-W-W), scoring 7 and conceding 2.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Mekelakeya vs Negelle Arsi?

Our pre-match prediction is Mekelakeya to win (55% confidence) at odds of 2.40. Win chances: Mekelakeya 40%, draw 20%, Negelle Arsi 40%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Mekelakeya vs Negelle Arsi?

We expect about 1.8 goals. Our pick is Under 2.5 with 85% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 27%).

What time is Mekelakeya vs Negelle Arsi?

Mekelakeya vs Negelle Arsi (Premier League) was played on Thursday 14 May 2026 at 16:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Mekelakeya vs Negelle Arsi?

The double chance 12 (Mekelakeya or Negelle Arsi) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.40. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.