Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United Prediction

A League · Fri 27 Feb 2026
Australia flag Australia : A League
Melbourne VictoryLDLDL
1 - 1
Full time · HT 1 - 1
Adelaide UnitedWWLLL
Kick-offFri 27 Feb, 09:35
Our tip1 @ 1.59 ✗
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence80%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✗
Double chance1X ✓
BTTSYes ✓
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✗

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
Melbourne VictoryLDLDL
04 Nov 26HPersib Bandung1 - 2AFC Champions League Two
01 Nov 26HCentral Coast Mariners1 - 1A-League
28 Oct 26APersib Bandung0 - 2AFC Champions League Two
24 Oct 26HMelbourne City1 - 1A-League
18 Oct 26AWellington Phoenix1 - 2A-League
Adelaide UnitedWWLLL
01 Nov 26APerth Glory0 - 4A-League
29 Oct 26HHome United0 - 2AFC Champions League Two
25 Oct 26ASydney1 - 2A-League
15 Oct 26ABG Pathum United2 - 1AFC Champions League Two
03 Oct 26APerth Glory3 - 1Friendlies Clubs

Head to head

Melbourne Victory 20 · Draws 12 · Adelaide United 15 (47 meetings, last 10 below)

27 Feb 26Melbourne Victory1 - 1Adelaide UnitedA-League
17 Jan 26Adelaide United2 - 1Melbourne VictoryA-League
13 Dec 25Melbourne Victory2 - 1Adelaide UnitedA-League
29 Mar 25Melbourne Victory5 - 3Adelaide UnitedA-League
18 Jan 25Adelaide United3 - 2Melbourne VictoryA-League
21 Sep 24Melbourne Victory1 - 0Adelaide UnitedAustralia Cup
09 Mar 24Adelaide United1 - 2Melbourne VictoryA-League
30 Dec 23Melbourne Victory2 - 0Adelaide UnitedA-League
04 Nov 23Melbourne Victory1 - 1Adelaide UnitedA-League
26 Feb 23Melbourne Victory1 - 1Adelaide UnitedA-League

Full head to head: Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United →

Our prediction

Melbourne Victory to win

@ 1.59
Double chance
1X  •  Melbourne Victory or Draw
@ 1.18
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.50
Confidence
80%

Our record

Our tips in A Leaguelast 30 days
9/2339%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
85%
Over 2.5: 58%Under 2.5: 42%
Expected goals
1.45Melbourne Victory
3.03Total
1.58Adelaide United

Possible correct scores

2 – 1 Melbourne Victory win 9% @ 7.00 Our pick
1 – 1 Draw 8% @ 8.00 ✓ Final score
2 – 0 Melbourne Victory win 7% @ 8.50
1 – 0 Melbourne Victory win 7% @ 9.00
3 – 1 Melbourne Victory win 7% @ 9.00

Final score: 1 – 1 – in our list ✓. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Melbourne Victory72%
Draw21%
Adelaide United7%

Odds (1X2)

11.59
X4.35
24.75

Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United preview and result

Melbourne Victory and Adelaide United met in the A League on Friday 27 February 2026 at 09:35 (Nigerian time). The match finished 1 - 1, 1 - 1 at half time.

Our model gives Melbourne Victory a 72% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Adelaide United 7%. Our pick was Melbourne Victory to win with 80% confidence at odds of 1.59. The pick lost this time ✗. For a safer option, the double chance 1X (Melbourne Victory or Draw) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.18.

Goals: we expect about 3.0 goals (1.5 for Melbourne Victory, 1.6 for Adelaide United). The chance of three or more goals is 58%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (85% confidence). 2 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Melbourne Victory have 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-D-L-D-L), scoring 4 and conceding 8. Adelaide United have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (W-W-L-L-L), scoring 6 and conceding 10. In their last 10 meetings, Melbourne Victory won 20, Adelaide United won 15 and 12 ended level. In the table, Melbourne Victory are 9th with 3 points and Adelaide United are 12th with 1 points.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United?

Our pre-match prediction is Melbourne Victory to win (80% confidence) at odds of 1.59. Win chances: Melbourne Victory 72%, draw 21%, Adelaide United 7%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 85% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 58%).

What time is Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United?

Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United (A League) was played on Friday 27 February 2026 at 09:35 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United?

The double chance 1X (Melbourne Victory or Draw) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.18. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

A League table

Melbourne Victory9th3 pts
Adelaide United12th1 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Wellington Phoenix 4310 610
2 Sydney 4211 37
3 Brisbane Roar 3210 27
4 Melbourne City 4211 07
5 Perth Glory 4202 36
6 Western Sydney Wanderers 4121 25
7 Macarthur 4121 05
8 Auckland 4121 -15
9 Melbourne Victory 4031 -13
10 Newcastle Jets 4022 -42
11 Central Coast Mariners 4022 -52
12 Adelaide United 3012 -51