Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction

A League · Sun 5 Apr 2026
Australia flag Australia : A League
Melbourne VictoryLDLDL
0 - 1
Full time · HT 0 - 0
Kick-offSun 5 Apr, 06:00
Our tip1 @ 1.50 ✗
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence80%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✗
Double chance1X ✗
BTTSYes ✗
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✗

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
Melbourne VictoryLDLDL
04 Nov 26HPersib Bandung1 - 2AFC Champions League Two
01 Nov 26HCentral Coast Mariners1 - 1A-League
28 Oct 26APersib Bandung0 - 2AFC Champions League Two
24 Oct 26HMelbourne City1 - 1A-League
18 Oct 26AWellington Phoenix1 - 2A-League
Wellington Phoenix

No matches found.

Head to head

Full head to head: Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix →

Our prediction

Melbourne Victory to win

@ 1.50
Double chance
1X  •  Melbourne Victory or Draw
@ 1.13
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.57
Confidence
80%

Our record

Our tips on Melbourne Victorylast 20 tipped matches
6/2030%
Our tips in A Leaguelast 30 days
9/2339%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
85%
Over 2.5: 62%Under 2.5: 38%
Expected goals
2.35Melbourne Victory
3.18Total
0.83Wellington Phoenix

Possible correct scores

2 – 1 Melbourne Victory win 9% @ 7.00 Our pick
2 – 0 Melbourne Victory win 8% @ 7.50
1 – 0 Melbourne Victory win 8% @ 8.00
1 – 1 Draw 8% @ 8.00
3 – 1 Melbourne Victory win 7% @ 8.50

Final score: 0 – 1 – not in our list. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Melbourne Victory74%
Draw20%
Wellington Phoenix6%

Odds (1X2)

11.50
X4.45
25.60

Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix preview and result

Melbourne Victory and Wellington Phoenix met in the A League on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 06:00 (Nigerian time). The match finished 0 - 1, 0 - 0 at half time.

Our model gives Melbourne Victory a 74% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Wellington Phoenix 6%. Our pick was Melbourne Victory to win with 80% confidence at odds of 1.50. The pick lost this time ✗. For a safer option, the double chance 1X (Melbourne Victory or Draw) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.13.

Goals: we expect about 3.2 goals (2.4 for Melbourne Victory, 0.8 for Wellington Phoenix). The chance of three or more goals is 62%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (85% confidence). 1 goal was scored.

Form and head to head

Melbourne Victory have 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-D-L-D-L), scoring 4 and conceding 8. In the table, Melbourne Victory are 9th with 3 points and Wellington Phoenix are 1st with 10 points.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix?

Our pre-match prediction is Melbourne Victory to win (80% confidence) at odds of 1.50. Win chances: Melbourne Victory 74%, draw 20%, Wellington Phoenix 6%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 85% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 62%).

What time is Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix?

Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix (A League) was played on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 06:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix?

The double chance 1X (Melbourne Victory or Draw) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.13. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

A League table

Melbourne Victory9th3 pts
Wellington Phoenix1st10 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Wellington Phoenix 4310 610
2 Sydney 4211 37
3 Brisbane Roar 3210 27
4 Melbourne City 4211 07
5 Perth Glory 4202 36
6 Western Sydney Wanderers 4121 25
7 Macarthur 4121 05
8 Auckland 4121 -15
9 Melbourne Victory 4031 -13
10 Newcastle Jets 4022 -42
11 Central Coast Mariners 4022 -52
12 Adelaide United 3012 -51