Mérida AD vs Guadalajara Prediction

Primera División RFEF Group 1 · Fri 13 Mar 2026
Spain flag Spain : Primera División RFEF Group 1
Mérida ADWWDLW
1 - 4
Full time · HT 0 - 1
Guadalajara
Kick-offFri 13 Mar, 19:00
Our tip1 ✗
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence55%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✗
Double chance12 ✓
BTTSNo ✗
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✓

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
Mérida ADWWDLW
08 Nov 26HAthletic Club II2 - 0Primera División RFEF Group 1
01 Nov 26ALugo1 - 2Primera División RFEF Group 1
25 Oct 26HCD Coria0 - 0Primera División RFEF Group 1
18 Oct 26AArenas Getxo4 - 0Primera División RFEF Group 1
11 Oct 26APontevedra2 - 1Primera División RFEF Group 1
Guadalajara

No matches found.

Head to head

Full head to head: Mérida AD vs Guadalajara →

Our prediction

Mérida AD to win

Double chance
12  •  Mérida AD or Guadalajara
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
Confidence
55%

Our record

Our tips on Mérida ADlast 20 tipped matches
12/2060%
Our tips in Primera División RFEF Group 1last 30 days
20/4248%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 46%Under 2.5: 54%
Expected goals
1.13Mérida AD
2.52Total
1.39Guadalajara

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 13%
0 – 1 Guadalajara win 11%
1 – 0 Mérida AD win 9%
1 – 2 Guadalajara win 9%
0 – 0 Draw 8%
3 – 0 Mérida AD win 2% Our pick

Final score: 1 – 4 – not in our list. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Mérida AD47%
Draw11%
Guadalajara42%

Mérida AD vs Guadalajara preview and result

Mérida AD and Guadalajara met in the Primera División RFEF Group 1 on Friday 13 March 2026 at 19:00 (Nigerian time). The match finished 1 - 4, 0 - 1 at half time.

Our model gives Mérida AD a 47% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Guadalajara 42%. Our pick was Mérida AD to win with 55% confidence. The pick lost this time ✗. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Mérida AD or Guadalajara) covers two of the three results.

Goals: we expect about 2.5 goals (1.1 for Mérida AD, 1.4 for Guadalajara). The chance of three or more goals is 46%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (75% confidence). 5 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Mérida AD have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (W-W-D-L-W), scoring 9 and conceding 3.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Mérida AD vs Guadalajara?

Our pre-match prediction is Mérida AD to win (55% confidence). Win chances: Mérida AD 47%, draw 11%, Guadalajara 42%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Mérida AD vs Guadalajara?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 46%).

What time is Mérida AD vs Guadalajara?

Mérida AD vs Guadalajara (Primera División RFEF Group 1) was played on Friday 13 March 2026 at 19:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Mérida AD vs Guadalajara?

The double chance 12 (Mérida AD or Guadalajara) covers two outcomes. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.