Merthyr Town vs Chorley Prediction

National League North · Sat 29 Aug 2026
England flag England : National League North
Merthyr TownWDLLD
15:00
Sat 29 Aug, 15:00
ChorleyWLWWL
Kick-offSat 29 Aug, 15:00
Our tip1 @ 2.38
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence55%

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
Merthyr TownWDLLD
31 Oct 26ARadcliffe3 - 3National League North
27 Oct 26AOxford City0 - 3National League North
26 Sep 26HMarine1 - 2National League North
12 Sep 26AScarborough Athletic0 - 0National League North
08 Sep 26AChester1 - 0National League North
ChorleyWLWWL
31 Oct 26ASpennymoor Town0 - 2National League North
27 Oct 26ARadcliffe3 - 0National League North
26 Sep 26HSpalding United2 - 1National League North
12 Sep 26AKing's Lynn Town0 - 2National League North
08 Sep 26HDarlington 18835 - 2National League North

Head to head

Full head to head: Merthyr Town vs Chorley →

Our prediction

Merthyr Town to win

@ 2.38
Backup prediction
1X  •  Merthyr Town or Draw
@ 1.44
Confidence
55%

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 52%Under 2.5: 48%
Expected goals
1.38Merthyr Town
2.75Total
1.37Chorley

Win probability

Merthyr Town42%
Draw17%
Chorley41%

Odds (1X2)

12.38
X3.40
22.45

Merthyr Town vs Chorley preview

Merthyr Town host Chorley in the National League North (England) on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 15:00 Nigerian time. Here is our prediction, the odds, both teams' recent form and their head-to-head record.

Our model gives Merthyr Town a 42% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Chorley 41%. That makes our pick Merthyr Town to win with 55% confidence at odds of 2.38. For a safer option, the double chance 1X (Merthyr Town or Draw) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.44.

Goals: we expect about 2.8 goals (1.4 for Merthyr Town, 1.4 for Chorley). The chance of three or more goals is 52%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (75% confidence).

Form and head to head

Merthyr Town have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (W-D-L-L-D), scoring 5 and conceding 8. Chorley have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (W-L-W-W-L), scoring 10 and conceding 7.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Merthyr Town vs Chorley?

Our prediction is Merthyr Town to win (55% confidence) at odds of 2.38. Win chances: Merthyr Town 42%, draw 17%, Chorley 41%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Merthyr Town vs Chorley?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 52%).

What time is Merthyr Town vs Chorley?

Merthyr Town vs Chorley (National League North) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 15:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Merthyr Town vs Chorley?

The double chance 1X (Merthyr Town or Draw) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.44. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.