Millwall vs Derby Prediction

Championship · Tue 10 Mar 2026
England flag England : Championship
MillwallLDLWL
1 - 0
Full time · HT 1 - 0
DerbyLLDLL
Kick-offTue 10 Mar, 20:45
Our tip1 @ 1.95 ✓
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence70%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✓
Double chance12 ✓
BTTSYes ✗
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✗

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
MillwallLDLWL
03 Nov 26ABirmingham0 - 3Championship
31 Oct 26HDerby4 - 1Championship
24 Oct 26APortsmouth1 - 2Championship
17 Oct 26HLincoln2 - 2Championship
13 Oct 26HSwansea0 - 1Championship
DerbyLLDLL
03 Nov 26HNorwich0 - 4Championship
31 Oct 26AMillwall1 - 4Championship
24 Oct 26ASheffield Utd1 - 1Championship
17 Oct 26HStoke City0 - 1Championship
14 Oct 26AQPR1 - 4Championship

Head to head

Millwall 2 · Draws 0 · Derby 0 (2 meetings)

31 Oct 26Millwall4 - 1DerbyChampionship
10 Mar 26Millwall1 - 0DerbyChampionship

Full head to head: Millwall vs Derby →

Our prediction

Millwall to win

@ 1.95
Double chance
12  •  Millwall or Derby
@ 1.28
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.85
Confidence
70%

Our record

Our tips on Millwalllast 20 tipped matches
12/2060%
Our tips on Derbylast 20 tipped matches
9/2045%
Our tips in Championshiplast 30 days
43/7756%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 50%Under 2.5: 50%
Expected goals
1.47Millwall
2.67Total
1.20Derby

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 11% @ 5.50
1 – 0 Millwall win 11% @ 5.75 ✓ Final score
2 – 1 Millwall win 9% @ 7.00 Our pick
2 – 0 Millwall win 8% @ 7.50
0 – 0 Draw 8% @ 8.00

Final score: 1 – 0 – in our list ✓. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Millwall63%
Draw17%
Derby20%

Odds (1X2)

11.95
X3.35
23.90

Millwall vs Derby preview and result

Millwall and Derby met in the Championship on Tuesday 10 March 2026 at 20:45 (Nigerian time). The match finished 1 - 0, 1 - 0 at half time.

Our model gives Millwall a 63% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Derby 20%. Our pick was Millwall to win with 70% confidence at odds of 1.95. The pick came in ✓. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Millwall or Derby) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.28.

Goals: we expect about 2.7 goals (1.5 for Millwall, 1.2 for Derby). The chance of three or more goals is 50%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (75% confidence). 1 goal was scored.

Form and head to head

Millwall have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-D-L-W-L), scoring 7 and conceding 9. Derby have 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-L-D-L-L), scoring 3 and conceding 14. In their last 2 meetings, Millwall won 2, Derby won 0 and 0 ended level. In the table, Millwall are 13th with 18 points and Derby are 23rd with 10 points.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Millwall vs Derby?

Our pre-match prediction is Millwall to win (70% confidence) at odds of 1.95. Win chances: Millwall 63%, draw 17%, Derby 20%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Millwall vs Derby?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 50%).

What time is Millwall vs Derby?

Millwall vs Derby (Championship) was played on Tuesday 10 March 2026 at 20:45 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Millwall vs Derby?

The double chance 12 (Millwall or Derby) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.28. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Championship table

Millwall13th18 pts
Derby23rd10 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Middlesbrough 14842 1128
2 Wolves 14833 827
3 Birmingham 14752 1326
4 Stoke City 14824 526
5 Swansea 14824 526
6 West Brom 14743 525
7 Southampton 14842 1524
8 West Ham 14653 1523
9 Sheffield Utd 14644 322
10 Portsmouth 14644 322
11 QPR 14563 521
12 Norwich 14608 318
13 Millwall 14536 -118
14 Blackburn 14536 -218
15 Bristol City 14536 -318
16 Wrexham 14455 -217
17 Bolton 15528 -917
18 Cardiff 14365 -115
19 Lincoln 14437 -1015
20 Watford 14428 -1014
21 Charlton 14356 -1114
22 Burnley 14176 -810
23 Derby 15249 -1610
24 Preston 141211 -185