Montedio Yamagata vs Sagan Tosu Prediction

J2 League · Sat 26 Sep 2026
Japan flag Japan : J2 League
Montedio YamagataLLWWL
2 - 0
Full time · HT 2 - 0
Sagan TosuLWLLW
Kick-offSat 26 Sep, 09:00
Our tip2 @ 2.50 ✗
GoalsUnder 2.5
Confidence55%

Full-time report

Our tip2 ✗
Double chance12 ✓
BTTSNo ✓
Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 ✓

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
Montedio YamagataLLWWL
07 Nov 26AIwaki0 - 2J2 League
03 Nov 26HTokushima Vortis1 - 0J2 League
31 Oct 26AVanraure Hachinohe2 - 1J2 League
25 Oct 26HTegevajaro Miyazaki0 - 2J2 League
21 Oct 26HConsadole Sapporo0 - 2J2 League
Sagan TosuLWLLW
03 Nov 26AShonan Bellmare1 - 0J2 League
31 Oct 26AJubilo Iwata0 - 2J2 League
28 Oct 26HKawasaki Frontale0 - 2J-League Cup
25 Oct 26HVanraure Hachinohe2 - 0J2 League
21 Oct 26AAlbirex Niigata1 - 2J2 League

Head to head

Montedio Yamagata 3 · Draws 0 · Sagan Tosu 4 (7 meetings)

26 Sep 26Montedio Yamagata2 - 0Sagan TosuJ2 League
30 Aug 25Montedio Yamagata3 - 2Sagan TosuJ2 League
25 Apr 25Sagan Tosu2 - 1Montedio YamagataJ2 League
14 Nov 15Sagan Tosu4 - 3Montedio YamagataEmperor Cup
16 Aug 15Montedio Yamagata1 - 3Sagan TosuJ1 League
12 Apr 15Sagan Tosu1 - 0Montedio YamagataJ1 League
10 Sep 14Montedio Yamagata1 - 0Sagan TosuEmperor Cup

Full head to head: Montedio Yamagata vs Sagan Tosu →

Our prediction

Sagan Tosu to win

@ 2.50
Double chance
12  •  Montedio Yamagata or Sagan Tosu
@ 1.33
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
@ 2.00
Confidence
55%

Our record

Our tips on Montedio Yamagatalast 20 tipped matches
10/2050%
Our tips on Sagan Tosulast 20 tipped matches
9/2045%
Our tips in J2 Leaguelast 30 days
39/7056%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 38%Under 2.5: 62%
Expected goals
1.11Montedio Yamagata
2.21Total
1.10Sagan Tosu

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 11% @ 6.50
0 – 1 Sagan Tosu win 8% @ 9.00 Our pick
1 – 0 Montedio Yamagata win 8% @ 9.50
0 – 0 Draw 7% @ 10.00
1 – 2 Sagan Tosu win 7% @ 10.00

Final score: 2 – 0 – not in our list. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Montedio Yamagata40%
Draw18%
Sagan Tosu42%

Odds (1X2)

12.75
X3.25
22.50

Montedio Yamagata vs Sagan Tosu preview and result

Montedio Yamagata and Sagan Tosu met in the J2 League on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 09:00 (Nigerian time). The match finished 2 - 0, 2 - 0 at half time.

Our model gives Montedio Yamagata a 40% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Sagan Tosu 42%. Our pick was Sagan Tosu to win with 55% confidence at odds of 2.50. The pick lost this time ✗. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Montedio Yamagata or Sagan Tosu) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.33.

Goals: we expect about 2.2 goals (1.1 for Montedio Yamagata, 1.1 for Sagan Tosu). The chance of three or more goals is 38%, so our goals pick is Under 2.5 (75% confidence). 2 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Montedio Yamagata have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-L-W-W-L), scoring 3 and conceding 7. Sagan Tosu have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-W-L-L-W), scoring 4 and conceding 6. In their last 7 meetings, Montedio Yamagata won 3, Sagan Tosu won 4 and 0 ended level.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Montedio Yamagata vs Sagan Tosu?

Our pre-match prediction is Sagan Tosu to win (55% confidence) at odds of 2.50. Win chances: Montedio Yamagata 40%, draw 18%, Sagan Tosu 42%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Montedio Yamagata vs Sagan Tosu?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Our pick is Under 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 38%).

What time is Montedio Yamagata vs Sagan Tosu?

Montedio Yamagata vs Sagan Tosu (J2 League) was played on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 09:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Montedio Yamagata vs Sagan Tosu?

The double chance 12 (Montedio Yamagata or Sagan Tosu) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.33. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.