Mtarfa vs Santa Lucía Prediction

Challenge League · Sun 19 Apr 2026
Malta flag Malta : Challenge League
MtarfaLLLDL
0 - 4
Half time
Santa LucíaDDDLD
Kick-offSun 19 Apr, 16:45
Our tip2
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence80%

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
MtarfaLLLDL
19 Apr 26HSanta Lucía0 - 4Challenge League
11 Apr 26AMarsa0 - 0Challenge League
01 Apr 26HVittoriosa Stars0 - 1Challenge League
15 Mar 26AGudja United0 - 3Challenge League
01 Mar 26AZebbug Rangers0 - 6Challenge League
Santa LucíaDDDLD
08 Nov 26HTarxien Rainbows3 - 3Challenge League
01 Nov 26ASwieqi United0 - 2Challenge League
24 Oct 26HNaxxar Lions1 - 1Challenge League
17 Oct 26AFgura United0 - 0Challenge League
11 Oct 26HZurrieq1 - 1Challenge League

Head to head

Full head to head: Mtarfa vs Santa Lucía →

Our prediction

Santa Lucía to win

Double chance
12  •  Mtarfa or Santa Lucía
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
Confidence
80%

Our record

Our tips on Mtarfalast 6 tipped matches
5/683%
Our tips on Santa Lucíalast 10 tipped matches
2/1020%
Our tips in Challenge Leaguelast 30 days
20/3263%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
90%
Over 2.5: 74%Under 2.5: 26%
Expected goals
0.00Mtarfa
3.88Total
3.88Santa Lucía

Possible correct scores

0 – 3 Santa Lucía win 19% Our pick
0 – 4 Santa Lucía win 19%
0 – 2 Santa Lucía win 15%
0 – 5 Santa Lucía win 14%
0 – 1 Santa Lucía win 8%

Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Mtarfa17%
Draw11%
Santa Lucía72%

Mtarfa vs Santa Lucía preview

Mtarfa v Santa Lucía in the Challenge League is under way – the score is 0 - 4 (Half time).

Our model gives Mtarfa a 17% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Santa Lucía 72%. That makes our pick Santa Lucía to win with 80% confidence. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Mtarfa or Santa Lucía) covers two of the three results.

Goals: we expect about 3.9 goals (0.0 for Mtarfa, 3.9 for Santa Lucía). The chance of three or more goals is 74%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (90% confidence).

Form and head to head

Mtarfa have 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-L-L-D-L), scoring 0 and conceding 14. Santa Lucía have 0 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (D-D-D-L-D), scoring 5 and conceding 7.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Mtarfa vs Santa Lucía?

Our prediction is Santa Lucía to win (80% confidence). Win chances: Mtarfa 17%, draw 11%, Santa Lucía 72%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Mtarfa vs Santa Lucía?

We expect about 3.9 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 90% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 74%).

What time is Mtarfa vs Santa Lucía?

Mtarfa vs Santa Lucía (Challenge League) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 16:45 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Mtarfa vs Santa Lucía?

The double chance 12 (Mtarfa or Santa Lucía) covers two outcomes. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.