Nacional AC MG vs Nova Lavras Prediction

Mineiro 3 · Mon 5 Oct 2026
Brazil flag Brazil : Mineiro 3
2 - 1
Full time · HT 0 - 1
Nova Lavras
Kick-offMon 5 Oct, 23:30
Our tip1 ✓
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence60%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✓
Double chance12 ✓
BTTSNo ✗
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✓

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away

Head to head

Full head to head: Nacional AC MG vs Nova Lavras →

Our prediction

Nacional AC MG to win

Double chance
12  •  Nacional AC MG or Nova Lavras
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
Confidence
60%

Our record

Our tips in Mineiro 3last 30 days
11/1765%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 46%Under 2.5: 54%
Expected goals
1.25Nacional AC MG
2.50Total
1.25Nova Lavras

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 13%
0 – 1 Nova Lavras win 10%
1 – 0 Nacional AC MG win 10%
0 – 0 Draw 8%
1 – 2 Nova Lavras win 8%
3 – 0 Nacional AC MG win 3% Our pick

Final score: 2 – 1 – not in our list. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Nacional AC MG52%
Draw11%
Nova Lavras37%

Nacional AC MG vs Nova Lavras preview and result

Nacional AC MG and Nova Lavras met in the Mineiro 3 on Monday 5 October 2026 at 23:30 (Nigerian time). The match finished 2 - 1, 0 - 1 at half time.

Our model gives Nacional AC MG a 52% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Nova Lavras 37%. Our pick was Nacional AC MG to win with 60% confidence. The pick came in ✓. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Nacional AC MG or Nova Lavras) covers two of the three results.

Goals: we expect about 2.5 goals (1.3 for Nacional AC MG, 1.3 for Nova Lavras). The chance of three or more goals is 46%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (75% confidence). 3 goals were scored.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Nacional AC MG vs Nova Lavras?

Our pre-match prediction is Nacional AC MG to win (60% confidence). Win chances: Nacional AC MG 52%, draw 11%, Nova Lavras 37%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Nacional AC MG vs Nova Lavras?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 46%).

What time is Nacional AC MG vs Nova Lavras?

Nacional AC MG vs Nova Lavras (Mineiro 3) was played on Monday 5 October 2026 at 23:30 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Nacional AC MG vs Nova Lavras?

The double chance 12 (Nacional AC MG or Nova Lavras) covers two outcomes. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.