Portugal : Primeira Liga
Recent form
NacionalLLLWL
AlvercaWWLLLHead to head
Our prediction
Alverca to win
@ 3.10Our record
Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.
Who will win?
Voting closed at kick-off.
Goals outlook
Possible correct scores
Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.
Win probability
Odds (1X2)
Nacional vs Alverca preview
Nacional host Alverca in the Primeira Liga (Portugal) on Saturday 18 April 2026 at 15:30 Nigerian time. Here is our prediction, the odds, both teams' recent form and their head-to-head record.
Our model gives Nacional a 41% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Alverca 42%. That makes our pick Alverca to win with 55% confidence at odds of 3.10. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Nacional or Alverca) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.25.
Goals: we expect about 2.6 goals (0.7 for Nacional, 1.9 for Alverca). The chance of three or more goals is 48%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (75% confidence).
Form and head to head
Nacional have 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-L-L-W-L), scoring 3 and conceding 9. Alverca have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (W-W-L-L-L), scoring 5 and conceding 5. In the table, Nacional are 13th with 10 points and Alverca are 11th with 12 points.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Nacional vs Alverca?
Our prediction is Alverca to win (55% confidence) at odds of 3.10. Win chances: Nacional 41%, draw 17%, Alverca 42%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Nacional vs Alverca?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 48%).
What time is Nacional vs Alverca?
Nacional vs Alverca (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Saturday 18 April 2026 at 15:30 Nigerian time (WAT).
What is a safe bet for Nacional vs Alverca?
The double chance 12 (Nacional or Alverca) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.25. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.
Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.
Primeira Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto |
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 33 |
| 2 |  Benfica |
11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 28 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP |
11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 24 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara |
11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 21 |
| 5 |  Arouca |
11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 20 |
| 6 |  Academico Viseu |
11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 20 |
| 7 |  GIL Vicente |
11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 18 |
| 8 |  SC Braga |
11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 17 |
| 9 |  Moreirense |
11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 14 |
| 10 |  Famalicao |
11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 13 |
| 11 |  Alverca |
11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 12 |
| 12 |  Estrela |
11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -5 | 10 |
| 13 |  Nacional |
11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -8 | 10 |
| 14 |  Vitória SC |
11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -1 | 9 |
| 15 |  Maritimo |
10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -12 | 8 |
| 16 |  Casa Pia |
11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -14 | 8 |
| 17 |  Rio Ave |
11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -15 | 7 |
| 18 |  Estoril |
10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -14 | 2 |
More Primeira Liga predictions
AVS
TondelaOther matches on Sat 18 Apr
Brentfordvs
FulhamTip 112:30
Derbyvs
Oxford UnitedTip 112:30
Millwallvs
QPRTip 112:30
Portsmouthvs
LeicesterTip 101:00
Haiti Wvs
Dominican Republic W1 - 101:00
Panama Wvs
Cuba W3 - 001:00
Deportes Limachevs
Universidad de Concepcion3 - 001:00
Rangers de Talcavs
Union Espanola1 - 101:00
Internacional Palmiravs
Popayan2 - 101:30
Emelecvs
Guayaquil City FC1 - 3