Portugal : Primeira Liga
Recent form
NacionalLLLWL
EstrelaLLWLLHead to head
Our prediction
Estrela to win
@ 3.40Our record
Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.
Who will win?
Voting closed at kick-off.
Goals outlook
Possible correct scores
Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.
Win probability
Odds (1X2)
Nacional vs Estrela preview
Nacional host Estrela in the Primeira Liga (Portugal) on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 15:30 Nigerian time. Here is our prediction, the odds, both teams' recent form and their head-to-head record.
Our model gives Nacional a 35% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Estrela 48%. That makes our pick Estrela to win with 55% confidence at odds of 3.40. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Nacional or Estrela) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.25.
Goals: we expect about 2.7 goals (0.6 for Nacional, 2.1 for Estrela). The chance of three or more goals is 51%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (75% confidence).
Form and head to head
Nacional have 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-L-L-W-L), scoring 3 and conceding 9. Estrela have 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-L-W-L-L), scoring 3 and conceding 8. In the table, Nacional are 13th with 10 points and Estrela are 12th with 10 points.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Nacional vs Estrela?
Our prediction is Estrela to win (55% confidence) at odds of 3.40. Win chances: Nacional 35%, draw 17%, Estrela 48%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Nacional vs Estrela?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 51%).
What time is Nacional vs Estrela?
Nacional vs Estrela (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 15:30 Nigerian time (WAT).
What is a safe bet for Nacional vs Estrela?
The double chance 12 (Nacional or Estrela) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.25. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.
Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.
Primeira Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto |
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 33 |
| 2 | Benfica |
11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 28 |
| 3 | Sporting CP |
11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 24 |
| 4 | Santa Clara |
11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 21 |
| 5 | Arouca |
11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 20 |
| 6 | Academico Viseu |
11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 20 |
| 7 | GIL Vicente |
11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 18 |
| 8 | SC Braga |
11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 17 |
| 9 | Moreirense |
11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 14 |
| 10 | Famalicao |
11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 13 |
| 11 | Alverca |
11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 12 |
| 12 | Estrela |
11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -5 | 10 |
| 13 | Nacional |
11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -8 | 10 |
| 14 | Vitória SC |
11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -1 | 9 |
| 15 | Maritimo |
10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -12 | 8 |
| 16 | Casa Pia |
11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -14 | 8 |
| 17 | Rio Ave |
11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -15 | 7 |
| 18 | Estoril |
10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -14 | 2 |
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FC Porto
Benfica
Sporting CP
Santa Clara
Arouca
Academico Viseu
GIL Vicente
SC Braga
Moreirense
Famalicao
Alverca
Estrela
Nacional
Vitória SC
Maritimo
Casa Pia
Rio Ave
Estoril
AVS
Tondela