Nacional vs Estrela Prediction

Primeira Liga · Sun 30 Aug 2026
Portugal flag Portugal : Primeira Liga
NacionalLLLWL
2 - 3
Full time · HT 1 - 1
EstrelaLLWLL
Kick-offSun 30 Aug, 15:30
Our tip1 @ 2.30 ✗
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence55%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✗
Double chance12 ✓
BTTSYes ✓
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✓

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
NacionalLLLWL
01 Nov 26AArouca0 - 1Primeira Liga
25 Oct 26HSC Braga1 - 0Primeira Liga
17 Oct 26ASanjoanense0 - 1Taça de Portugal
11 Oct 26ARio Ave2 - 3Primeira Liga
19 Sep 26HFamalicao0 - 4Primeira Liga
EstrelaLLWLL
31 Oct 26AMoreirense1 - 2Primeira Liga
24 Oct 26HCasa Pia0 - 2Primeira Liga
17 Oct 26AFazendense2 - 1Taça de Portugal
11 Oct 26AArouca0 - 1Primeira Liga
20 Sep 26HAcademico Viseu0 - 2Primeira Liga

Head to head

Full head to head: Nacional vs Estrela →

Our prediction

Nacional to win

@ 2.30
Double chance
12  •  Nacional or Estrela
@ 1.28
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.73
Confidence
55%

Our record

Our tips on Nacionallast 20 tipped matches
9/2045%
Our tips on Estrelalast 20 tipped matches
8/2040%
Our tips in Primeira Ligalast 30 days
22/3367%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
85%
Over 2.5: 58%Under 2.5: 42%
Expected goals
1.50Nacional
3.00Total
1.50Estrela

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 12% @ 5.50
1 – 0 Nacional win 10% @ 6.50
2 – 1 Nacional win 8% @ 7.50 Our pick
0 – 1 Estrela win 8% @ 8.00
0 – 0 Draw 7% @ 8.50

Final score: 2 – 3 – not in our list. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Nacional42%
Draw18%
Estrela40%

Odds (1X2)

12.30
X3.25
23.05

Nacional vs Estrela preview and result

Nacional and Estrela met in the Primeira Liga on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 15:30 (Nigerian time). The match finished 2 - 3, 1 - 1 at half time.

Our model gives Nacional a 42% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Estrela 40%. Our pick was Nacional to win with 55% confidence at odds of 2.30. The pick lost this time ✗. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Nacional or Estrela) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.28.

Goals: we expect about 3.0 goals (1.5 for Nacional, 1.5 for Estrela). The chance of three or more goals is 58%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (85% confidence). 5 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Nacional have 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-L-L-W-L), scoring 3 and conceding 9. Estrela have 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-L-W-L-L), scoring 3 and conceding 8. In the table, Nacional are 16th with 7 points and Estrela are 12th with 10 points.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Nacional vs Estrela?

Our pre-match prediction is Nacional to win (55% confidence) at odds of 2.30. Win chances: Nacional 42%, draw 18%, Estrela 40%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Nacional vs Estrela?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 85% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 58%).

What time is Nacional vs Estrela?

Nacional vs Estrela (Primeira Liga) was played on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 15:30 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Nacional vs Estrela?

The double chance 12 (Nacional or Estrela) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.28. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Primeira Liga table

Nacional16th7 pts
Estrela12th10 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 FC Porto 101000 2130
2 Benfica 10811 1925
3 Sporting CP 11731 1324
4 Santa Clara 10631 921
5 Arouca 11623 520
6 Academico Viseu 10622 320
7 GIL Vicente 10433 115
8 SC Braga 10424 114
9 Moreirense 11425 -514
10 Famalicao 11344 113
11 Alverca 11335 -112
12 Estrela 10244 -410
13 Vitória SC 10235 09
14 Maritimo 10226 -128
15 Casa Pia 11227 -148
16 Nacional 10217 -97
17 Rio Ave 10217 -147
18 Estoril 10028 -142